{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7012e740-9fff-466b-9d40-02cedb3d27be", "symbol": "600192", "name": "Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.04, "architecture_energy": 44.404, "architecture_maturity": 83.834, "architecture_confidence": 81.68, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.52, "rotation_up": 24.72, "upward_expansion": 6.11, "deceleration": 60.79, "rotation_down": 50.95, "downward_expansion": 79.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.611333, 6.645818, 7.114524, 7.606882 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.17, "trend_reference": 8.338667, "distance_from_trend": -0.14015, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.843526, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.047706, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.699721, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.232334, "excess_performance": -0.18913, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.14015, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104845, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.047706, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.2354, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.196997, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044555, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.232334, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.208311, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 153717830, "relative_activity": 3.367628, "balance": 2.208311, "dry_up": 1.633577, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123914, "annualized_volatility": 0.454956, "from_high_reference": -0.444186, "from_low_reference": 0.280357 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.338667, "fair_value_reference": 6.843526, "structural_low": 5.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.007299, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.016482, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.119617, "worst_return": -0.168213, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.037765, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.048708, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.111314, "worst_return": -0.205251, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.047847, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.097936, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.159774, "worst_return": -0.030631, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.372741, "energy": 80.319652, "activity_lines": [ 6.524667, 6.848182, 7.459429, 7.982387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.08, "volume": 43875232, "typical_volume": 42865820.35, "trend": 8.534, "fair_value": 6.83141, "relative_strength": -30.743601, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.585394, "energy": 70.703489, "activity_lines": [ 6.303333, 6.642909, 7.276905, 7.816022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.56, "volume": 57927067, "typical_volume": 40715797.85, "trend": 8.437667, "fair_value": 6.835192, "relative_strength": -25.071018, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.672027, "energy": 56.819677, "activity_lines": [ 6.354667, 6.574727, 7.158714, 7.688667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.17, "volume": 153717830, "typical_volume": 45645725.3, "trend": 8.338667, "fair_value": 6.843526, "relative_strength": -19.699721, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.039555, "energy": 44.403997, "activity_lines": [ 6.611333, 6.645818, 7.114524, 7.606882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }