{ "ticker": { "uuid": "70144863-12aa-4cd3-8692-a71a4ed0a616", "symbol": "300128", "name": "Suzhou Jinfu Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.872, "architecture_energy": 80.843, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.801, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.85, "rotation_up": 8.89, "upward_expansion": 19.16, "deceleration": 37.6, "rotation_down": 78.53, "downward_expansion": 94.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.440667, 4.884545, 5.675476, 5.980796 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4.77, "trend_reference": 6.427, "distance_from_trend": -0.257819, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.24109, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.089884, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.778184, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.324363, "excess_performance": -0.331762, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.257819, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09602, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.089884, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.441897, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.287782, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177874, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.324363, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.439975, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 183749647, "relative_activity": 1.04376, "balance": 1.439975, "dry_up": 1.01284, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.171746, "annualized_volatility": 0.620958, "from_high_reference": -0.45672, "from_low_reference": 0.289189 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.427, "fair_value_reference": 5.24109, "structural_low": 3.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.003247, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.001224, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.404908, "worst_return": -0.235149, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.09879, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.054576, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.16263, "worst_return": -0.337134, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.019178, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.08171, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.757785, "worst_return": -0.249351, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.301587, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.202381, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.081365, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.106686, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", 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5.044, 5.801524, 6.09314 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.77, "volume": 183749647, "typical_volume": 176045812.85, "trend": 6.427, "fair_value": 5.24109, "relative_strength": -28.778184, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.87198, "energy": 80.843014, "activity_lines": [ 4.440667, 4.884545, 5.675476, 5.980796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }