{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7020ab78-348e-4082-94d2-e10388159e78", "symbol": "SGQX", "name": "Amundi Global Equity Quality Income UCITS ETF GBP Hedged Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 82.426, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.765, "architecture_energy": 67.149, "architecture_maturity": 19.456, "architecture_confidence": 72.705, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.44, "rotation_up": 75.36, "upward_expansion": 91.18, "deceleration": 43.12, "rotation_down": 12.61, "downward_expansion": 13.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 243.218333, 241.428636, 238.241548, 236.415699 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 243.6, "trend_reference": 233.5125, "distance_from_trend": 0.043199, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 192.339944, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.266508, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.522822, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.060398, "excess_performance": 0.009163, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043199, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039157, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.266508, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026073, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.005228, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005767, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.060398, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.129217, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12841, "relative_activity": 4.560662, "balance": 1.129217, "dry_up": 2.690901, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019712, "annualized_volatility": 0.112562, "from_high_reference": -0.0256, "from_low_reference": 0.196758 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 233.5125, "fair_value_reference": 192.339944, "structural_low": 222.65, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": 0.002905, "positive_rate": 0.674419, "directional_follow_through": 0.674419, "median_excess_return": 0.004602, "regime_survival": 0.813953, "best_return": 0.076517, "worst_return": -0.050207, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.032795, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": 0.006512, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.087292, "worst_return": -0.053646, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.068614, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.008656, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.089662, "worst_return": 0.00671, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.609626, "energy": 60.380102, "activity_lines": [ 236.345, 234.845, 233.694286, 231.794946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 239.375, "volume": 88, "typical_volume": 1795.45, "trend": 228.6225, "fair_value": 189.513918, "relative_strength": 0.997505, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.851434, "energy": 68.679475, "activity_lines": [ 237.72, 235.882273, 234.268929, 232.543978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 238.7, "volume": 2541, "typical_volume": 1758.55, "trend": 229.534167, "fair_value": 190.064206, "relative_strength": 2.41296, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.729501, "energy": 63.546667, "activity_lines": [ 238.43, 236.641818, 234.756548, 233.19414 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 243.875, "volume": 1691, "typical_volume": 1701.8, "trend": 230.564167, "fair_value": 190.631674, "relative_strength": 3.554259, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.276835, "energy": 77.784762, "activity_lines": [ 240.425, 238.229545, 235.712976, 234.119355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 243.075, "volume": 2211, "typical_volume": 1578.1, "trend": 231.595, "fair_value": 191.185328, "relative_strength": 1.8661, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.516999, "energy": 74.081476, "activity_lines": [ 241.715, 239.416364, 236.572976, 234.926505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 243.65, "volume": 13563, "typical_volume": 2227.25, "trend": 232.5725, "fair_value": 191.765488, "relative_strength": 0.839451, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.909604, "energy": 68.553287, "activity_lines": [ 242.596667, 240.5, 237.436429, 235.704247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 243.6, "volume": 12841, "typical_volume": 2815.6, "trend": 233.5125, "fair_value": 192.339944, "relative_strength": 0.522822, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.765036, "energy": 67.149494, "activity_lines": [ 243.218333, 241.428636, 238.241548, 236.415699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }