{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "702f8a11-6ba2-4a4f-817d-ef3c42183284",
    "symbol": "BST",
    "name": "BlackRock Science and Technology Trust",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 53.739,
    "architecture_energy": 27.793,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.519,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.252,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.13,
        "rotation_up": 35.34,
        "upward_expansion": 60.42,
        "deceleration": 85.27,
        "rotation_down": 26.86,
        "downward_expansion": 19.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.835106,
        46.98816,
        46.293706,
        44.605566
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 48.75,
    "trend_reference": 42.613817,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.143995,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.438269,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.45791,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.431321,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.269186,
    "excess_performance": 0.143561,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143995,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075139,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.45791,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055072,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074313,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014768,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.269186,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.527958,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 514514,
      "relative_activity": 0.957654,
      "balance": 3.527958,
      "dry_up": 0.869356,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.060355,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.263175,
      "from_high_reference": -0.044687,
      "from_low_reference": 0.421872
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 42.613817,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.438269,
      "structural_low": 34.285781,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.026611,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001239,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.10065,
        "worst_return": -0.027322,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.076376,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001514,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.112948,
        "worst_return": 0.029966,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.174715,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001595,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.292428,
        "worst_return": 0.066777,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.151431,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050039,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.265223,
        "worst_return": 0.037638,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02101,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.065563,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.020327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030466,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.157813,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.033442,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.029001,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.038926,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.033358,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.036269,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
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        "return": 0.084919,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.058093,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.053826,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": 13.015177,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 514775.45,
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        "fair_value": 32.786262,
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      },
      {
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        "energy": 53.561808,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 457724,
        "typical_volume": 518648.2,
        "trend": 41.847864,
        "fair_value": 33.04253,
        "relative_strength": 3.396305,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.267248,
        "energy": 39.081795,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.369818,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 45.35,
        "volume": 357064,
        "typical_volume": 514959.15,
        "trend": 42.073626,
        "fair_value": 33.161313,
        "relative_strength": 4.962113,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.312554,
        "energy": 29.553551,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.289841,
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          45.576728,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 46.26,
        "volume": 538995,
        "typical_volume": 526022.2,
        "trend": 42.309137,
        "fair_value": 33.290999,
        "relative_strength": 5.729948,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.115325,
        "energy": 21.983437,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.097219,
          46.679757,
          45.836411,
          44.190027
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 48.75,
        "volume": 514514,
        "typical_volume": 537264.75,
        "trend": 42.613817,
        "fair_value": 33.438269,
        "relative_strength": 7.431321,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.73934,
        "energy": 27.793219,
        "activity_lines": [
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          46.98816,
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          44.605566
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}