{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7046be54-7acb-413e-9555-0f58adec0950", "symbol": "BOHO", "name": "Boho Group AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -49.62, "architecture_energy": 65.626, "architecture_maturity": 15.934, "architecture_confidence": 73.566, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.04, "rotation_up": 17.22, "upward_expansion": 21.75, "deceleration": 44.47, "rotation_down": 76.2, "downward_expansion": 65.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.773333, 8.045818, 8.690286, 8.690667 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 7.5, "trend_reference": 8.563333, "distance_from_trend": -0.124173, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.054851, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.068884, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.177169, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.043367, "excess_performance": -0.104862, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.124173, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022365, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.068884, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.364648, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.191772, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.353161, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.043367, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.947379, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19107, "relative_activity": 0.308012, "balance": 0.947379, "dry_up": 0.490592, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084615, "annualized_volatility": 0.426881, "from_high_reference": -0.295775, "from_low_reference": 0.01626 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.563333, "fair_value_reference": 8.054851, "structural_low": 7.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.07, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.143172, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.055416, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 7.84, "volume": 547601, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, 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55946.65, "trend": 8.571333, "fair_value": 8.066186, "relative_strength": -10.354666, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.509599, "energy": 37.64363, "activity_lines": [ 8.369333, 8.904182, 9.131429, 8.895054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.78, "volume": 40687, "typical_volume": 57981.0, "trend": 8.569333, "fair_value": 8.063265, "relative_strength": -12.910333, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.111004, "energy": 54.685516, "activity_lines": [ 8.102667, 8.624, 9.021238, 8.844 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.94, "volume": 30644, "typical_volume": 59513.2, "trend": 8.572667, "fair_value": 8.06202, "relative_strength": -12.269736, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.850781, "energy": 63.417024, "activity_lines": [ 7.990667, 8.418727, 8.926571, 8.803398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.9, "volume": 31294, "typical_volume": 61077.9, "trend": 8.574667, "fair_value": 8.0604, "relative_strength": -13.59478, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.794317, "energy": 61.736961, "activity_lines": [ 7.941333, 8.247273, 8.827619, 8.76 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.5, "volume": 19107, "typical_volume": 62033.25, "trend": 8.563333, "fair_value": 8.054851, "relative_strength": -19.177169, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.620161, "energy": 65.626103, "activity_lines": [ 7.773333, 8.045818, 8.690286, 8.690667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }