{ "ticker": { "uuid": "70529fd2-3fd4-4b20-ad66-1db62e82539e", "symbol": "601869", "name": "Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited Company", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -1.49, "architecture_energy": 27.297, "architecture_maturity": 60.001, "architecture_confidence": 74.002, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.99, "rotation_up": 14.05, "upward_expansion": 43.4, "deceleration": 87.64, "rotation_down": 49.2, "downward_expansion": 37.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 327.504667, 377.845271, 392.887143, 367.937657 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 338.690002, "trend_reference": 317.602001, "distance_from_trend": 0.066398, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 93.554512, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.620242, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 55.418174, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.271258, "excess_performance": 1.314462, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066398, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.490886, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.620242, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -2.712958, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.554182, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.344027, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.271258, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.731672, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73828310, "relative_activity": 1.126818, "balance": 0.731672, "dry_up": 1.208113, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.215112, "annualized_volatility": 0.911397, "from_high_reference": -0.418058, "from_low_reference": 5.865055 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 317.602001, "fair_value_reference": 93.554512, "structural_low": 151.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.016056, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.02903, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.399403, "worst_return": -0.163072, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.103504, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.091056, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.756626, "worst_return": -0.141503, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 1.398246, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 1.266347, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 3.67935, "worst_return": -0.222802, "sufficient": 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67915367, "typical_volume": 65661792.9, "trend": 310.191001, "fair_value": 91.59406, "relative_strength": 31.36789, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -17.381216, "energy": 31.732026, "activity_lines": [ 338.263332, 391.726362, 396.948429, 366.099012 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 338.690002, "volume": 73828310, "typical_volume": 65519304.3, "trend": 317.602001, "fair_value": 93.554512, "relative_strength": 55.418174, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.489596, "energy": 27.297113, "activity_lines": [ 327.504667, 377.845271, 392.887143, 367.937657 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }