{ "ticker": { "uuid": "706c137b-5c69-4ff6-81ec-e5a61023b125", "symbol": "300383", "name": "Beijing Sinnet Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.164, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.621, "architecture_energy": 27.839, "architecture_maturity": 41.809, "architecture_confidence": 80.15, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.79, "rotation_up": 25.57, "upward_expansion": 15.59, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 30.95, "downward_expansion": 60.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.182, 12.979636, 13.742925, 14.38717 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 13.59, "trend_reference": 14.979395, "distance_from_trend": -0.092754, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.287434, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.106008, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.395094, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.113424, "excess_performance": -0.120824, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.092754, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -4.6e-05, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.106008, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.315122, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.093951, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04874, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.113424, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.506939, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 487447896, "relative_activity": 0.939293, "balance": 0.506939, "dry_up": 0.86654, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110893, "annualized_volatility": 0.529147, "from_high_reference": -0.289721, "from_low_reference": 0.151695 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.979395, "fair_value_reference": 12.287434, "structural_low": 11.8, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.027495, "positive_rate": 0.586207, "directional_follow_through": 0.413793, "median_excess_return": 0.013784, "regime_survival": 0.724138, "best_return": 0.182618, "worst_return": -0.104251, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.081178, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.063426, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.46144, "worst_return": -0.092992, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.019784, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.015916, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.614396, "worst_return": -0.212811, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.583588, "energy": 45.705045, "activity_lines": [ 12.843333, 12.982966, 14.245387, 14.731968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.31, "volume": 493133001, "typical_volume": 557074890.6, "trend": 14.90657, "fair_value": 12.244247, "relative_strength": -15.834574, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.23382, "energy": 43.822738, "activity_lines": [ 12.684667, 12.765058, 13.988173, 14.563905 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.52, "volume": 407875358, "typical_volume": 534733937.95, "trend": 14.942815, "fair_value": 12.264071, "relative_strength": -5.609219, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.331223, "energy": 32.4765, "activity_lines": [ 12.968667, 12.846727, 13.858338, 14.474449 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.59, "volume": 487447896, "typical_volume": 518952172.95, "trend": 14.979395, "fair_value": 12.287434, "relative_strength": -9.395094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.620944, "energy": 27.838831, "activity_lines": [ 13.182, 12.979636, 13.742925, 14.38717 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }