{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7079ffe5-db77-4382-a090-de435a49a874", "symbol": "6569", "name": "Onyx Healthcare Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 76.371, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -23.596, "architecture_energy": 21.205, "architecture_maturity": 15.64, "architecture_confidence": 61.197, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.85, "rotation_up": 16.12, "upward_expansion": 14.23, "deceleration": 61.19, "rotation_down": 57.59, "downward_expansion": 41.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 96.753334, 99.999366, 100.793684, 99.748467 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 92.5, "trend_reference": 99.256761, "distance_from_trend": -0.068074, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 130.317568, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.290195, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.379839, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.075785, "excess_performance": -0.517157, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.068074, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014969, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.290195, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018217, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.393798, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01958, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.075785, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.553544, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 332167, "relative_activity": 0.792508, "balance": 1.553544, "dry_up": 0.705277, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106759, "annualized_volatility": 0.343457, "from_high_reference": -0.397505, "from_low_reference": 0.035845 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 99.256761, "fair_value_reference": 130.317568, "structural_low": 89.299061, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.014837, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": -0.017742, "regime_survival": 0.470588, "best_return": 0.162791, "worst_return": -0.206452, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.000563, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.002881, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.582317, "worst_return": -0.267442, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.073956, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.092407, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.195846, 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"relative_strength": -34.095849, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.690101, "energy": 13.054438, "activity_lines": [ 100.966666, 103.336707, 101.659295, 100.352478 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 97.800003, "volume": 284221, "typical_volume": 405901.4, "trend": 99.687736, "fair_value": 130.734342, "relative_strength": -34.51295, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.255352, "energy": 11.740466, "activity_lines": [ 99.486667, 102.151167, 101.495409, 100.212192 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 92.5, "volume": 332167, "typical_volume": 419133.8, "trend": 99.256761, "fair_value": 130.317568, "relative_strength": -39.379839, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.595647, "energy": 21.2049, "activity_lines": [ 96.753334, 99.999366, 100.793684, 99.748467 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }