{ "ticker": { "uuid": "708f270c-ca48-41d9-a095-cac68e4cc9ac", "symbol": "SUPRIYA", "name": "Supriya Lifescience Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.909, "architecture_energy": 26.592, "architecture_maturity": 78.925, "architecture_confidence": 95.722, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.75, "rotation_up": 29.63, "upward_expansion": 59.29, "deceleration": 88.16, "rotation_down": 27.52, "downward_expansion": 20.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 874.583337, 890.835461, 859.795244, 808.299898 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 923.450012, "trend_reference": 754.416671, "distance_from_trend": 0.224058, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 579.88618, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.592468, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.162783, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.379828, "excess_performance": 0.423537, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.224058, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073842, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.592468, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.251246, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.251628, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.197902, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.379828, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.777098, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1423334, "relative_activity": 1.0985, "balance": 1.777098, "dry_up": 0.769093, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086652, "annualized_volatility": 0.473751, "from_high_reference": -0.094657, "from_low_reference": 0.692851 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 754.416671, "fair_value_reference": 579.88618, "structural_low": 545.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.01041, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.009697, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.474237, "worst_return": -0.115393, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.048601, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.02369, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.486855, "worst_return": -0.225065, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.298423, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.283424, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.116797, "worst_return": 0.026037, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 920.97334, 912.550008, 822.206672, 776.792586 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 828.700012, "volume": 1069297, "typical_volume": 1260569.95, "trend": 740.906671, "fair_value": 568.110336, "relative_strength": 15.434013, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.711228, "energy": 39.591574, "activity_lines": [ 885.806673, 904.004554, 829.626911, 782.652048 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 840.5, "volume": 790761, "typical_volume": 1282895.3, "trend": 744.310004, "fair_value": 571.873727, "relative_strength": 19.258061, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.548621, "energy": 28.281782, "activity_lines": [ 864.470003, 895.386371, 837.343815, 789.077425 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 867.0, "volume": 702683, "typical_volume": 1260413.4, "trend": 748.191671, "fair_value": 575.658038, "relative_strength": 19.224504, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.646599, "energy": 29.310884, "activity_lines": [ 858.080001, 888.823643, 846.572148, 796.992908 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 923.450012, "volume": 1423334, "typical_volume": 1295706.95, "trend": 754.416671, "fair_value": 579.88618, "relative_strength": 25.162783, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.908871, "energy": 26.591679, "activity_lines": [ 874.583337, 890.835461, 859.795244, 808.299898 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }