{ "ticker": { "uuid": "70a56cb9-ccea-4c29-80df-368e591dbcfc", "symbol": "CTE", "name": "Cambridge Technology Enterprises Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.462, "architecture_energy": 65.666, "architecture_maturity": 40.354, "architecture_confidence": 82.343, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.33, "rotation_up": 66.97, "upward_expansion": 84.32, "deceleration": 48.34, "rotation_down": 15.87, "downward_expansion": 17.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.171333, 32.828181, 32.269809, 31.426387 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 37.66, "trend_reference": 31.268, "distance_from_trend": 0.204426, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 64.691026, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.417848, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.425402, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.027558, "excess_performance": 0.071267, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.204426, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102071, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.417848, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098333, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.044254, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.199165, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.027558, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.067287, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 204468, "relative_activity": 2.456994, "balance": 3.067287, "dry_up": 1.312967, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084174, "annualized_volatility": 0.5245, "from_high_reference": -0.3716, "from_low_reference": 0.836177 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.268, "fair_value_reference": 64.691026, "structural_low": 20.51, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.026822, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.036528, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.444638, "worst_return": -0.259924, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.01022, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.010644, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.391052, "worst_return": -0.512829, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.019056, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.062328, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.274352, "worst_return": -0.538478, "sufficient": true 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[ 30.720666, 31.452181, 30.876238, 30.901828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 30.389999, "volume": 24460, "typical_volume": 104427.65, "trend": 31.677333, "fair_value": 65.142436, "relative_strength": -15.908836, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.284169, "energy": 21.011276, "activity_lines": [ 30.477999, 31.185636, 30.948714, 30.795677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.5, "volume": 74926, "typical_volume": 101655.6, "trend": 31.396333, "fair_value": 64.965833, "relative_strength": -10.221108, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.346215, "energy": 14.446946, "activity_lines": [ 30.719333, 31.160363, 31.117095, 30.784236 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.919998, "volume": 133200, "typical_volume": 83453.9, "trend": 31.230333, "fair_value": 64.82109, "relative_strength": -2.619928, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.225182, "energy": 17.771365, "activity_lines": [ 32.113332, 31.772727, 31.589619, 31.01157 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.66, "volume": 204468, "typical_volume": 83218.75, "trend": 31.268, "fair_value": 64.691026, "relative_strength": 4.425402, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.462441, "energy": 65.665819, "activity_lines": [ 34.171333, 32.828181, 32.269809, 31.426387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }