{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "70ab3dc9-54eb-4ab7-8914-422925204c78",
    "symbol": "XDEW",
    "name": "Xtrackers S&P 500 Equal Weight UCITS ETF 1C",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.417,
    "architecture_energy": 71.097,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.41,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.754,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.41,
        "rotation_up": 67.32,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 56.12,
        "rotation_down": 23.43,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        120.297332,
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        117.450857,
        115.52987
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 122.349998,
    "trend_reference": 113.450166,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.078447,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 92.979289,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.315884,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.955755,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.099084,
    "excess_performance": 0.047848,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078447,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040638,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.315884,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055039,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029558,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01464,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099084,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.587726,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 944054,
      "relative_activity": 2.18365,
      "balance": 1.587726,
      "dry_up": 1.412198,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017234,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.101304,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006882,
      "from_low_reference": 0.242132
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 113.450166,
      "fair_value_reference": 92.979289,
      "structural_low": 104.209999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.005841,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00858,
        "regime_survival": 0.705882,
        "best_return": 0.045526,
        "worst_return": -0.047888,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.07952,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.126499,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.057382,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "typical_volume": 628886.45,
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        "fair_value": 89.284064,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 651357.4,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 654514.95,
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        "fair_value": 90.506853,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 290139,
        "typical_volume": 644532.8,
        "trend": 109.482499,
        "fair_value": 90.757109,
        "relative_strength": 2.871432,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 117.459999,
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        "typical_volume": 622315.1,
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        "fair_value": 91.000507,
        "relative_strength": 2.88274,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 91.249737,
        "relative_strength": 3.138036,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 110.863499,
        "fair_value": 91.499353,
        "relative_strength": 3.383034,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 79.972827,
        "energy": 88.138018,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 119.550003,
        "volume": 14143,
        "typical_volume": 464532.5,
        "trend": 111.315833,
        "fair_value": 91.758327,
        "relative_strength": 2.711133,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.661847,
        "energy": 90.348855,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 119.199997,
        "volume": 907397,
        "typical_volume": 463075.85,
        "trend": 111.735166,
        "fair_value": 91.998455,
        "relative_strength": 4.176517,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.190244,
        "energy": 85.051876,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 119.290001,
        "volume": 434819,
        "typical_volume": 430451.55,
        "trend": 112.164166,
        "fair_value": 92.235891,
        "relative_strength": 3.240548,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.102578,
        "energy": 85.888819,
        "activity_lines": [
          119.025333,
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          115.580547,
          114.037387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 119.190002,
        "volume": 657990,
        "typical_volume": 435084.55,
        "trend": 112.575833,
        "fair_value": 92.470507,
        "relative_strength": 1.875032,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.089512,
        "energy": 78.21835,
        "activity_lines": [
          119.218001,
          118.448364,
          116.14919,
          114.490666
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 119.339996,
        "volume": 405271,
        "typical_volume": 408244.0,
        "trend": 113.006499,
        "fair_value": 92.712814,
        "relative_strength": 0.759793,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.803214,
        "energy": 63.807665,
        "activity_lines": [
          119.285333,
          118.756909,
          116.685595,
          114.927064
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 122.349998,
        "volume": 944054,
        "typical_volume": 432328.4,
        "trend": 113.450166,
        "fair_value": 92.979289,
        "relative_strength": 2.955755,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.417251,
        "energy": 71.096975,
        "activity_lines": [
          120.297332,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}