{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "70b28e56-caaa-4090-95d2-e9ff71ef4c5f",
    "symbol": "SOYO",
    "name": "WisdomTree Soybean Oil",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 53.92,
    "architecture_energy": 39.634,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.591,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.914,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.31,
        "rotation_up": 46.28,
        "upward_expansion": 75.48,
        "deceleration": 69.84,
        "rotation_down": 25.3,
        "downward_expansion": 4.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.636467,
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        8.359983
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 8.4,
    "trend_reference": 7.917767,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.060905,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.325936,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.327867,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.601722,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.314348,
    "excess_performance": 0.143457,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060905,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133219,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.327867,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058964,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026017,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.139931,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.314348,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 6.352057,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3735,
      "relative_activity": 0.266448,
      "balance": 6.352057,
      "dry_up": 0.238858,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040092,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.278312,
      "from_high_reference": -0.080258,
      "from_low_reference": 0.514878
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.917767,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.325936,
      "structural_low": 6.409,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.009109,
        "positive_rate": 0.45,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.45,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032909,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.206379,
        "worst_return": -0.160989,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_return": 0.000958,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041986,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.183233,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.039046,
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        "worst_return": -0.232232,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.396836,
        "sufficient": false
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        "close": 8.596,
        "volume": 24303,
        "typical_volume": 21203.5,
        "trend": 6.617,
        "fair_value": 6.149462,
        "relative_strength": 20.093307,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.739158,
        "energy": 70.565303,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.146933,
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          7.471357,
          7.067129
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 21792.3,
        "trend": 6.700133,
        "fair_value": 6.166577,
        "relative_strength": 16.594834,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.287145,
        "energy": 69.553938,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 22736.45,
        "trend": 6.787967,
        "fair_value": 6.185724,
        "relative_strength": 17.129672,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.018398,
        "energy": 70.184094,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.4646,
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          7.76561,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 6225,
        "typical_volume": 23047.7,
        "trend": 6.8777,
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        "relative_strength": 17.273145,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.612263,
        "energy": 79.257052,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 23789.85,
        "trend": 6.986967,
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        "relative_strength": 20.069287,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 2500,
        "typical_volume": 22807.25,
        "trend": 7.0902,
        "fair_value": 6.24384,
        "relative_strength": 18.206283,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 75.881606,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 22402.1,
        "trend": 7.179933,
        "fair_value": 6.254385,
        "relative_strength": 10.756424,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 7.255367,
        "fair_value": 6.264769,
        "relative_strength": 2.932456,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 56.769659,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 2655,
        "typical_volume": 21390.2,
        "trend": 7.332533,
        "fair_value": 6.274154,
        "relative_strength": 8.175918,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.445799,
        "energy": 43.066908,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.519667,
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          8.358852,
          7.944015
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 8.183,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 21033.55,
        "trend": 7.402867,
        "fair_value": 6.281282,
        "relative_strength": 2.241113,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.196552,
        "energy": 28.686853,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.363933,
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          7.998884
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 8.779,
        "volume": 3491,
        "typical_volume": 20676.2,
        "trend": 7.501967,
        "fair_value": 6.292096,
        "relative_strength": 9.962149,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.508426,
        "energy": 30.52409,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.4642,
          8.56,
          8.435119,
          8.087667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 9.132,
        "volume": 3117,
        "typical_volume": 20221.3,
        "trend": 7.621533,
        "fair_value": 6.302917,
        "relative_strength": 15.782568,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.937594,
        "energy": 52.418227,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.6916,
          8.655836,
          8.521452,
          8.19283
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.02,
        "volume": 1855,
        "typical_volume": 18956.05,
        "trend": 7.737367,
        "fair_value": 6.312372,
        "relative_strength": 14.30965,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.165044,
        "energy": 59.321218,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.8492,
          8.720764,
          8.58699,
          8.283054
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.361,
        "volume": 4686,
        "typical_volume": 16260.95,
        "trend": 7.831233,
        "fair_value": 6.318718,
        "relative_strength": 5.236311,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.771339,
        "energy": 49.137228,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.7348,
          8.658036,
          8.583067,
          8.323288
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.4,
        "volume": 3735,
        "typical_volume": 14017.75,
        "trend": 7.917767,
        "fair_value": 6.325936,
        "relative_strength": 2.601722,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.920224,
        "energy": 39.63373,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.636467,
          8.608473,
          8.580929,
          8.359983
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}