{ "ticker": { "uuid": "70b3b96c-2a9f-4c6b-80ed-8cf0d0eefed6", "symbol": "001317", "name": "San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 54.599, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 6.463, "architecture_energy": 13.384, "architecture_maturity": 25.156, "architecture_confidence": 76.781, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 66.6, "rotation_up": 49.31, "upward_expansion": 25.97, "deceleration": 40.17, "rotation_down": 16.73, "downward_expansion": 26.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.464665, 48.415635, 49.348333, 49.523935 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 53.099998, "trend_reference": 50.022, "distance_from_trend": 0.061533, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.70334, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.408363, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.302492, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.098015, "excess_performance": 0.090615, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061533, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005171, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.408363, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099044, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.043025, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108402, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.098015, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.091956, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30084525, "relative_activity": 1.548463, "balance": 1.091956, "dry_up": 1.838873, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.1165, "annualized_volatility": 0.556242, "from_high_reference": -0.156071, "from_low_reference": 0.365741 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.022, "fair_value_reference": 37.70334, "structural_low": 38.880001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.0428, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.021407, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.144613, "worst_return": -0.317271, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.050429, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.002629, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.303955, "worst_return": -0.333874, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.185622, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.005346, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.265692, "worst_return": -0.296867, "sufficient": false }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 45.302, 46.744363, 48.777429, 49.339054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.099998, "volume": 34976449, "typical_volume": 17277133.2, "trend": 50.100667, "fair_value": 37.490137, "relative_strength": -4.343642, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.43509, "energy": 26.501886, "activity_lines": [ 46.031999, 46.414909, 48.583333, 49.125849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.259998, "volume": 40169526, "typical_volume": 18652334.3, "trend": 50.089, "fair_value": 37.601483, "relative_strength": 9.915989, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.954433, "energy": 9.686736, "activity_lines": [ 48.747999, 47.407635, 48.992142, 49.329677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.099998, "volume": 30084525, "typical_volume": 19428634.8, "trend": 50.022, "fair_value": 37.70334, "relative_strength": 4.302492, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.462747, "energy": 13.38378, "activity_lines": [ 50.464665, 48.415635, 49.348333, 49.523935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }