{ "ticker": { "uuid": "70c61b30-d495-4f6e-a6bb-bdb6e00db04a", "symbol": "TPLPLASTEH", "name": "TPL Plastech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.621, "architecture_energy": 38.86, "architecture_maturity": 44.382, "architecture_confidence": 62.358, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.78, "rotation_up": 43.81, "upward_expansion": 69.62, "deceleration": 72.78, "rotation_down": 23.16, "downward_expansion": 9.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 78.490667, 77.835091, 73.869381, 71.238108 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 77.510002, "trend_reference": 68.384334, "distance_from_trend": 0.133447, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 75.521133, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.026335, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.405292, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.277778, "excess_performance": 0.321487, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.133447, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038881, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.026335, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108803, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.124053, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149955, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.277778, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.051749, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 589493, "relative_activity": 0.814342, "balance": 1.051749, "dry_up": 0.858234, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093536, "annualized_volatility": 0.56057, "from_high_reference": -0.141924, "from_low_reference": 0.54989 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68.384334, "fair_value_reference": 75.521133, "structural_low": 50.009998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.008281, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.023097, "regime_survival": 0.64, "best_return": 0.439883, "worst_return": -0.255876, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.05889, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.051593, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.489789, "worst_return": -0.10236, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.329042, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.20199, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.568103, "worst_return": -0.019972, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 79.804001, 76.330728, 72.124762, 69.866818 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 79.309998, "volume": 471240, "typical_volume": 733445.4, "trend": 68.004334, "fair_value": 75.285117, "relative_strength": 15.988676, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.96859, "energy": 57.182485, "activity_lines": [ 79.694666, 77.390182, 73.128238, 70.624839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 77.510002, "volume": 589493, "typical_volume": 723888.85, "trend": 68.384334, "fair_value": 75.521133, "relative_strength": 12.405292, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.621476, "energy": 38.860208, "activity_lines": [ 78.490667, 77.835091, 73.869381, 71.238108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }