{ "ticker": { "uuid": "70d34080-dc68-4511-911b-fd3973a05a94", "symbol": "600674", "name": "Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co.Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 48.33, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.11, "architecture_energy": 36.667, "architecture_maturity": 19.312, "architecture_confidence": 59.822, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.01, "rotation_up": 63.26, "upward_expansion": 73.38, "deceleration": 68.7, "rotation_down": 11.56, "downward_expansion": 4.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.311984, 14.969494, 14.949229, 14.935428 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 14.97, "trend_reference": 14.802487, "distance_from_trend": 0.011317, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.46006, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.031698, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.026902, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.075431, "excess_performance": 0.118635, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011317, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008435, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.031698, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024741, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020269, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097842, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.075431, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.465781, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 163910400, "relative_activity": 1.151336, "balance": 1.465781, "dry_up": 1.569084, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05756, "annualized_volatility": 0.259008, "from_high_reference": -0.084963, "from_low_reference": 0.115898 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.802487, "fair_value_reference": 15.46006, "structural_low": 13.4152, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.045338, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.020123, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.149392, "worst_return": -0.121187, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.054385, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.010153, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.174069, "worst_return": -0.120325, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.116546, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.088333, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.221183, "worst_return": -0.002962, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": 8.493076, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.676462, "energy": 22.628084, "activity_lines": [ 14.482286, 14.630637, 14.813793, 14.792706 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.586446, "volume": 276331277, "typical_volume": 146996108.55, "trend": 14.714487, "fair_value": 15.44195, "relative_strength": 9.259187, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.949003, "energy": 20.745542, "activity_lines": [ 14.909224, 14.780388, 14.872368, 14.851642 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.81, "volume": 173903173, "typical_volume": 141750783.75, "trend": 14.76682, "fair_value": 15.453759, "relative_strength": 10.459451, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.491966, "energy": 40.289875, "activity_lines": [ 15.325584, 14.959941, 14.951013, 14.92232 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.97, "volume": 163910400, "typical_volume": 142365446.55, "trend": 14.802487, "fair_value": 15.46006, "relative_strength": 2.026902, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.109763, "energy": 36.667486, "activity_lines": [ 15.311984, 14.969494, 14.949229, 14.935428 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }