{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "70e6d93b-3767-4fa6-a8be-0de0999ada04",
    "symbol": "CFR",
    "name": "Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.472,
    "architecture_energy": 82.625,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.636,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.948,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.69,
        "rotation_up": 81.45,
        "upward_expansion": 97.42,
        "deceleration": 40.89,
        "rotation_down": 9.95,
        "downward_expansion": 19.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        164.047333,
        159.950727,
        152.122498,
        147.961959
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 164.5,
    "trend_reference": 143.611801,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.145449,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 117.450773,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.400587,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.555392,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.138111,
    "excess_performance": 0.012486,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.145449,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076508,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.400587,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.180674,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085554,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.136269,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138111,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.685797,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3195361,
      "relative_activity": 1.15698,
      "balance": 1.685797,
      "dry_up": 1.18579,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041789,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.188257,
      "from_high_reference": -0.034001,
      "from_low_reference": 0.414276
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 117.450773,
      "structural_low": 127.674628,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.001191,
        "positive_rate": 0.458333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.458333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00215,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.092024,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.262713,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 2121295,
        "typical_volume": 2697451.8,
        "trend": 140.002488,
        "fair_value": 116.132424,
        "relative_strength": 11.681004,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.491325,
        "energy": 92.116039,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 164.23,
        "volume": 3958019,
        "typical_volume": 2713990.45,
        "trend": 141.253048,
        "fair_value": 116.567021,
        "relative_strength": 13.968998,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.914169,
        "energy": 92.023007,
        "activity_lines": [
          160.224,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 166.34,
        "volume": 3825050,
        "typical_volume": 2744226.35,
        "trend": 142.588063,
        "fair_value": 117.006127,
        "relative_strength": 13.880995,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.564104,
        "energy": 91.002563,
        "activity_lines": [
          162.81,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 164.5,
        "volume": 3195361,
        "typical_volume": 2761812.9,
        "trend": 143.611801,
        "fair_value": 117.450773,
        "relative_strength": 8.555392,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.471795,
        "energy": 82.624722,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}