{ "ticker": { "uuid": "70ed41e3-b636-4e89-afa4-26de41263fc4", "symbol": "000543", "name": "An Hui Wenergy Company Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.436, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.208, "architecture_energy": 20.804, "architecture_maturity": 52.949, "architecture_confidence": 69.386, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.29, "rotation_up": 23.8, "upward_expansion": 13.86, "deceleration": 46.74, "rotation_down": 32.16, "downward_expansion": 61.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.79744, 7.715389, 7.993215, 8.110826 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.85, "trend_reference": 8.222063, "distance_from_trend": -0.045252, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.402912, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.060394, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.087431, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.032059, "excess_performance": -0.039459, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.045252, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015125, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.060394, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080945, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.050874, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087594, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.032059, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.744596, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 142087256, "relative_activity": 0.725843, "balance": 2.744596, "dry_up": 0.947196, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081656, "annualized_volatility": 0.402747, "from_high_reference": -0.222002, "from_low_reference": 0.121429 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.222063, "fair_value_reference": 7.402912, "structural_low": 7.081708, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.022822, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": 0.033412, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.144809, "worst_return": -0.145704, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.074606, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.104272, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.270881, "worst_return": -0.086501, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.279719, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.299627, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.510643, "worst_return": -0.018349, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 7.71, "volume": 285274571, "typical_volume": 213492482.35, "trend": 8.253396, "fair_value": 7.383573, "relative_strength": -3.671439, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.197089, "energy": 58.561809, "activity_lines": [ 7.555514, 7.764003, 8.046614, 8.152684 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.98, "volume": 136808962, "typical_volume": 201240714.95, "trend": 8.225396, "fair_value": 7.392943, "relative_strength": 1.357505, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.786233, "energy": 32.870602, "activity_lines": [ 7.721107, 7.744696, 8.023939, 8.135045 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.85, "volume": 142087256, "typical_volume": 195754929.35, "trend": 8.222063, "fair_value": 7.402912, "relative_strength": -5.087431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.20773, "energy": 20.804399, "activity_lines": [ 7.79744, 7.715389, 7.993215, 8.110826 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }