{ "ticker": { "uuid": "70f60d3a-438a-4769-9fe3-ae2628599ff2", "symbol": "002725", "name": "Zhejiang Yueling Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.817, "architecture_energy": 60.065, "architecture_maturity": 36.41, "architecture_confidence": 86.364, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.72, "rotation_up": 16.84, "upward_expansion": 10.02, "deceleration": 52.58, "rotation_down": 68.56, "downward_expansion": 85.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.028, 11.443636, 12.981706, 13.807557 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 11.66, "trend_reference": 14.723412, "distance_from_trend": -0.208064, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.009637, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.029113, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.342079, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.215484, "excess_performance": -0.222884, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.208064, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084053, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.029113, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.501901, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.253421, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.203018, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.215484, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.459067, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30082034, "relative_activity": 0.753175, "balance": 0.459067, "dry_up": 0.916056, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129804, "annualized_volatility": 0.422566, "from_high_reference": -0.449359, "from_low_reference": 0.278509 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.723412, "fair_value_reference": 12.009637, "structural_low": 9.12, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.014749, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.022409, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 1.115044, "worst_return": -0.233083, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.014361, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004947, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.638806, "worst_return": -0.170923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.113859, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.171939, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.685138, "worst_return": -0.139762, "sufficient": false }, { 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"direction": -79.011478, "energy": 87.084351, "activity_lines": [ 12.177333, 13.183146, 14.462737, 14.943961 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.2, "volume": 29838360, "typical_volume": 50318231.15, "trend": 15.333412, "fair_value": 11.999593, "relative_strength": -33.32613, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.924338, "energy": 92.324192, "activity_lines": [ 11.434, 12.4544, 13.986821, 14.593724 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.85, "volume": 46631445, "typical_volume": 45050179.4, "trend": 15.124743, "fair_value": 12.000122, "relative_strength": -28.836865, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.320866, "energy": 82.284113, "activity_lines": [ 11.090667, 11.973104, 13.60443, 14.304471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.66, "volume": 39798320, "typical_volume": 41602169.5, "trend": 14.897423, "fair_value": 11.998601, "relative_strength": -28.55532, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.508224, "energy": 78.901602, "activity_lines": [ 10.847333, 11.564182, 13.231186, 14.016423 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.66, "volume": 30082034, "typical_volume": 39940308.15, "trend": 14.723412, "fair_value": 12.009637, "relative_strength": -25.342079, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.816568, "energy": 60.065383, "activity_lines": [ 11.028, 11.443636, 12.981706, 13.807557 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }