{ "ticker": { "uuid": "70fa67c7-6acb-4ab0-b58e-cce253b40dbb", "symbol": "GIB-A", "name": "CGI Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 60.74, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 32.319, "architecture_energy": 34.899, "architecture_maturity": 7.677, "architecture_confidence": 58.894, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.61, "rotation_up": 59.31, "upward_expansion": 35.95, "deceleration": 32.56, "rotation_down": 14.46, "downward_expansion": 22.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 99.915998, 96.995817, 95.472658, 96.477284 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 104.379997, "trend_reference": 99.793403, "distance_from_trend": 0.045961, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 134.081398, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.221518, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.144458, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.072209, "excess_performance": -0.192631, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045961, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090593, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.221518, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101371, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.171445, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.163095, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.072209, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.887009, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2881300, "relative_activity": 1.099792, "balance": 1.887009, "dry_up": 1.119516, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05844, "annualized_volatility": 0.355186, "from_high_reference": -0.222116, "from_low_reference": 0.254957 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 99.793403, "fair_value_reference": 134.081398, "structural_low": 83.174174, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.002302, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.01391, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.090262, "worst_return": -0.166408, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.032637, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.085458, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.126311, "worst_return": -0.229604, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.018152, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.090258, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.066569, "worst_return": -0.286166, "sufficient": 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"energy": 19.769367, "activity_lines": [ 93.943332, 93.362908, 94.10263, 96.735832 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 93.589996, "volume": 2977000, "typical_volume": 2624315.0, "trend": 101.39429, "fair_value": 134.481714, "relative_strength": -25.157032, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.775584, "energy": 15.648594, "activity_lines": [ 94.160665, 93.513998, 93.907031, 96.158572 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 102.610001, "volume": 3780100, "typical_volume": 2670280.0, "trend": 100.655675, "fair_value": 134.292717, "relative_strength": -16.73744, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 7.028983, "energy": 14.192513, "activity_lines": [ 97.120665, 95.184908, 94.616263, 96.237005 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 104.379997, "volume": 2881300, "typical_volume": 2619860.0, "trend": 99.793403, "fair_value": 134.081398, "relative_strength": -17.144458, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.319339, "energy": 34.898802, "activity_lines": [ 99.915998, 96.995817, 95.472658, 96.477284 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }