{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "70fac7ae-9ece-4dfc-827d-7cff850d8610",
    "symbol": "SOCL",
    "name": "Global X Social Media ETF",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -55.472,
    "architecture_energy": 84.01,
    "architecture_maturity": 76.953,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.693,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.71,
        "rotation_up": 28.0,
        "upward_expansion": 32.5,
        "deceleration": 23.0,
        "rotation_down": 50.32,
        "downward_expansion": 80.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        791.133333,
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 792.0,
    "trend_reference": 904.539119,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.124416,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 840.99471,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.058258,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -20.682946,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.239923,
    "excess_performance": -0.185256,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124416,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085127,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058258,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047385,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.206829,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061435,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.239923,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.553097,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.009352,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.434227,
      "from_high_reference": -0.276375,
      "from_low_reference": 0.049007
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 904.539119,
      "fair_value_reference": 840.99471,
      "structural_low": 755.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.002439,
        "positive_rate": 0.52381,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028813,
        "regime_survival": 0.761905,
        "best_return": 19.854688,
        "worst_return": -0.25857,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.625,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.028323,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 14.65956,
        "worst_return": -0.214607,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.077648,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026806,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.168583,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.071133,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "fair_value": 838.231287,
        "relative_strength": -22.012036,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 792.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22.6,
        "trend": 918.405786,
        "fair_value": 839.152428,
        "relative_strength": -21.216245,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 88.551266,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 792.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22.6,
        "trend": 911.472453,
        "fair_value": 840.073569,
        "relative_strength": -21.268043,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.961219,
        "energy": 84.855652,
        "activity_lines": [
          789.4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 792.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22.6,
        "trend": 904.539119,
        "fair_value": 840.99471,
        "relative_strength": -20.682946,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.47185,
        "energy": 84.009552,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}