{ "ticker": { "uuid": "70fcb57b-2abb-4f8d-9bab-83a2eb539af4", "symbol": "NTI", "name": "Neurotech International Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.837, "architecture_energy": 41.032, "architecture_maturity": 31.155, "architecture_confidence": 51.744, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.0, "rotation_up": 51.77, "upward_expansion": 76.43, "deceleration": 69.84, "rotation_down": 19.55, "downward_expansion": 5.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.015933, 0.015709, 0.014524, 0.013981 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.015, "trend_reference": 0.01355, "distance_from_trend": 0.107011, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.043571, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.65573, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.155372, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.034483, "excess_performance": -0.029223, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.107011, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039007, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.65573, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084017, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.041554, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218207, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.034483, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.75107, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6077471, "relative_activity": 1.052904, "balance": 0.75107, "dry_up": 1.516232, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130769, "annualized_volatility": 0.784773, "from_high_reference": -0.482759, "from_low_reference": 0.5 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.01355, "fair_value_reference": 0.043571, "structural_low": 0.01, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.02381, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.007257, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.306818, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.078825, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.100316, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.418919, "worst_return": -0.339535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.031228, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.040703, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.641791, "worst_return": -0.4375, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"blue", "start": "2024-05-10", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.014085, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.121622, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.71831, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.176471, "active": false }, { "regime": 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2996092, "typical_volume": 5167480.9, "trend": 0.013433, "fair_value": 0.044462, "relative_strength": 11.843494, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 54.867362, "energy": 73.913663, "activity_lines": [ 0.015667, 0.014364, 0.013481, 0.013324 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.016, "volume": 20607218, "typical_volume": 5658908.7, "trend": 0.0134, "fair_value": 0.044231, "relative_strength": 5.92448, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.941245, "energy": 73.900151, "activity_lines": [ 0.016, 0.014818, 0.013767, 0.013489 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.017, "volume": 7366916, "typical_volume": 5894863.7, "trend": 0.013467, "fair_value": 0.043974, "relative_strength": 13.918309, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.828793, "energy": 78.830028, "activity_lines": [ 0.016467, 0.015382, 0.014133, 0.013722 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.016, "volume": 955779, "typical_volume": 5645360.2, "trend": 0.013517, "fair_value": 0.043756, "relative_strength": 5.263936, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.539418, "energy": 68.812749, "activity_lines": [ 0.016467, 0.015673, 0.014386, 0.013885 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.015, "volume": 6077471, "typical_volume": 5772102.05, "trend": 0.01355, "fair_value": 0.043571, "relative_strength": -4.155372, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.83686, "energy": 41.032205, "activity_lines": [ 0.015933, 0.015709, 0.014524, 0.013981 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }