{ "ticker": { "uuid": "710e5361-22de-44e3-94a1-c075581a2113", "symbol": "9105", "name": "Cal-Comp Electronics (Thailand) Public Company Limited", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.019, "architecture_energy": 17.517, "architecture_maturity": 67.013, "architecture_confidence": 79.294, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.38, "rotation_up": 24.26, "upward_expansion": 54.07, "deceleration": 90.62, "rotation_down": 27.45, "downward_expansion": 17.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.333333, 8.548182, 8.363048, 7.776756 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.61, "trend_reference": 7.096279, "distance_from_trend": 0.213312, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.555184, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.549904, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.779868, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.47101, "excess_performance": 0.029638, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.213312, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.166551, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.549904, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.41843, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.047799, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.312219, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.47101, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.279213, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 89438218, "relative_activity": 0.405968, "balance": 1.279213, "dry_up": 0.471634, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.178594, "annualized_volatility": 0.666558, "from_high_reference": -0.380576, "from_low_reference": 0.661179 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.096279, "fair_value_reference": 5.555184, "structural_low": 5.183067, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.041831, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": 0.019435, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.177936, "worst_return": -0.181981, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.099845, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.058673, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.839474, "worst_return": -0.114843, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.324659, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.232664, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.357247, "worst_return": -0.080133, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 5.481466, "relative_strength": -5.967415, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.063961, "energy": 21.231042, "activity_lines": [ 8.407333, 8.828545, 8.203333, 7.597712 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.08, "volume": 77151305, "typical_volume": 217672981.8, "trend": 6.998143, "fair_value": 5.516522, "relative_strength": -8.030208, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.124125, "energy": 19.53296, "activity_lines": [ 8.241333, 8.633636, 8.263667, 7.672765 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 8.61, "volume": 89438218, "typical_volume": 220308475.7, "trend": 7.096279, "fair_value": 5.555184, "relative_strength": -4.779868, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.019045, "energy": 17.517193, "activity_lines": [ 8.333333, 8.548182, 8.363048, 7.776756 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }