{ "ticker": { "uuid": "712a9778-db36-4863-ba34-8971ff6221d3", "symbol": "PUB", "name": "Publicis Groupe S.A.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.143, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.478, "architecture_energy": 94.357, "architecture_maturity": 24.44, "architecture_confidence": 68.437, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.47, "rotation_up": 87.13, "upward_expansion": 99.53, "deceleration": 39.2, "rotation_down": 9.36, "downward_expansion": 21.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.059999, 89.924949, 85.739174, 82.979451 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 99.400002, "trend_reference": 80.779995, "distance_from_trend": 0.230503, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 86.020371, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.15554, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.744563, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.256002, "excess_performance": 0.081755, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.230503, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00639, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.15554, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.228609, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.017446, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.190504, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.256002, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.412075, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044287, "annualized_volatility": 0.309971, "from_high_reference": -0.004606, "from_low_reference": 0.451943 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 80.779995, "fair_value_reference": 86.020371, "structural_low": 68.459999, "invalidation": "A sustained 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104.35, "trend": 80.294662, "fair_value": 85.662415, "relative_strength": -10.851443, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.800846, "energy": 72.552801, "activity_lines": [ 87.139567, 86.029052, 82.70222, 80.941214 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 92.919998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 104.35, "trend": 80.432661, "fair_value": 85.820922, "relative_strength": -5.562988, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.504167, "energy": 83.771712, "activity_lines": [ 89.349332, 87.506137, 83.948697, 81.755752 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.400002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 104.35, "trend": 80.779995, "fair_value": 86.020371, "relative_strength": -1.744563, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.478161, "energy": 94.356763, "activity_lines": [ 93.059999, 89.924949, 85.739174, 82.979451 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }