{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "712d4049-3a7e-4c65-b9b1-582267f92230",
    "symbol": "IUSC",
    "name": "iShares S&P 500 CHF Hedged UCITS ETF (Acc)",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 70.661,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.964,
    "architecture_energy": 53.231,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.59,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.503,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.92,
        "rotation_up": 49.79,
        "upward_expansion": 78.53,
        "deceleration": 69.53,
        "rotation_down": 27.52,
        "downward_expansion": 7.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        109.897333,
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        108.730095,
        106.906645
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 112.660004,
    "trend_reference": 104.952333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.07344,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 90.332691,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247168,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.359682,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.101702,
    "excess_performance": 0.018818,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07344,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024762,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.247168,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006095,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013597,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069452,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101702,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.507737,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 52825,
      "relative_activity": 0.711221,
      "balance": 2.507737,
      "dry_up": 0.624249,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019227,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.132276,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004946,
      "from_low_reference": 0.200682
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 104.952333,
      "fair_value_reference": 90.332691,
      "structural_low": 93.830002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.014855,
        "positive_rate": 0.684211,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.684211,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002123,
        "regime_survival": 0.789474,
        "best_return": 0.063865,
        "worst_return": -0.093735,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.025371,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013466,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.097571,
        "worst_return": -0.076861,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.059658,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005993,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.175919,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "best_return": 0.168148,
        "worst_return": -0.117775,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
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      },
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.370771,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "volume": 92478,
        "typical_volume": 135917.55,
        "trend": 101.251327,
        "fair_value": 86.920063,
        "relative_strength": 2.481186,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 137993.8,
        "trend": 101.54266,
        "fair_value": 87.182627,
        "relative_strength": 5.585562,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 101.871993,
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        "relative_strength": 5.055345,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 142421.0,
        "trend": 102.137,
        "fair_value": 87.704806,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 137757.6,
        "trend": 102.745,
        "fair_value": 88.218588,
        "relative_strength": 3.568962,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 131961.45,
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        "fair_value": 88.453588,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 121957.35,
        "trend": 103.545666,
        "fair_value": 88.928588,
        "relative_strength": -3.823069,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.697648,
        "energy": 46.693499,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 109.400002,
        "volume": 12067,
        "typical_volume": 115899.25,
        "trend": 103.775667,
        "fair_value": 89.170191,
        "relative_strength": -3.899108,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 45.978498,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 110.059998,
        "volume": 72142,
        "typical_volume": 113902.55,
        "trend": 104.057667,
        "fair_value": 89.406024,
        "relative_strength": -1.98778,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.000729,
        "energy": 50.869383,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 108.699997,
        "volume": 47163,
        "typical_volume": 110696.7,
        "trend": 104.287,
        "fair_value": 89.629935,
        "relative_strength": -3.844429,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.941417,
        "energy": 46.339735,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.111999,
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          107.541142,
          105.888946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 108.379997,
        "volume": 40444,
        "typical_volume": 101466.45,
        "trend": 104.473,
        "fair_value": 89.849358,
        "relative_strength": -3.899224,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.268356,
        "energy": 43.839199,
        "activity_lines": [
          108.889332,
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          107.851571,
          106.15301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 108.139999,
        "volume": 45029,
        "typical_volume": 98319.7,
        "trend": 104.645666,
        "fair_value": 90.072883,
        "relative_strength": -4.092698,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.307741,
        "energy": 34.90788,
        "activity_lines": [
          108.655998,
          108.815999,
          108.099142,
          106.389591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 112.660004,
        "volume": 52825,
        "typical_volume": 74273.65,
        "trend": 104.952333,
        "fair_value": 90.332691,
        "relative_strength": -1.359682,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.96399,
        "energy": 53.230764,
        "activity_lines": [
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          106.906645
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}