{ "ticker": { "uuid": "713b9310-603e-4377-a20f-ea9198018094", "symbol": "300252", "name": "Kingsignal Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.182, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.502, "architecture_energy": 80.842, "architecture_maturity": 18.532, "architecture_confidence": 78.957, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.14, "rotation_up": 8.05, "upward_expansion": 18.58, "deceleration": 37.04, "rotation_down": 79.9, "downward_expansion": 94.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.407333, 13.001636, 14.189714, 14.37615 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 12.0, "trend_reference": 14.663667, "distance_from_trend": -0.181651, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.690962, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.122443, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.143423, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.192463, "excess_performance": -0.199863, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.181651, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01718, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.122443, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.426054, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.181434, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.171213, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.192463, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.976857, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 144243183, "relative_activity": 0.992108, "balance": 0.976857, "dry_up": 0.921099, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.155, "annualized_volatility": 0.569168, "from_high_reference": -0.364407, "from_low_reference": 0.229508 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.663667, "fair_value_reference": 10.690962, "structural_low": 9.76, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.057812, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.368421, "median_excess_return": 0.022757, "regime_survival": 0.684211, "best_return": 0.33678, "worst_return": -0.299176, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.139315, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.06291, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.50882, "worst_return": -0.245595, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.067296, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.030923, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.836141, "worst_return": -0.173418, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -26.051736, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.565585, "energy": 62.041453, "activity_lines": [ 12.520667, 14.254363, 14.809905, 14.81671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.8, "volume": 104324414, "typical_volume": 143143897.35, "trend": 14.751, "fair_value": 10.673654, "relative_strength": -22.68655, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.663188, "energy": 83.160654, "activity_lines": [ 11.538667, 13.472182, 14.434619, 14.553634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.0, "volume": 144243183, "typical_volume": 145390585.1, "trend": 14.663667, "fair_value": 10.690962, "relative_strength": -18.143423, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.502321, "energy": 80.841765, "activity_lines": [ 11.407333, 13.001636, 14.189714, 14.37615 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }