{ "ticker": { "uuid": "71529448-fb7a-404e-8064-30338c4865a5", "symbol": "GAGV", "name": "Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.888, "architecture_energy": 33.535, "architecture_maturity": 88.528, "architecture_confidence": 49.13, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.77, "rotation_up": 48.54, "upward_expansion": 66.4, "deceleration": 62.61, "rotation_down": 24.66, "downward_expansion": 11.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.806667, 12.818182, 12.691905, 12.581505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.0, "trend_reference": 12.393333, "distance_from_trend": 0.048951, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.348172, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.390646, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.529743, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.130435, "excess_performance": -0.043812, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048951, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031345, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.390646, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022733, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.125297, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033029, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.130435, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.523156, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 150, "relative_activity": 0.245982, "balance": 4.523156, "dry_up": 3.359708, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027811, "annualized_volatility": 0.394519, "from_high_reference": -0.007634, "from_low_reference": 0.271199 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.393333, "fair_value_reference": 9.348172, "structural_low": 10.9, 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"trend": 12.183333, "fair_value": 9.180002, "relative_strength": -11.699434, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.481623, "energy": 88.753457, "activity_lines": [ 12.733333, 12.609091, 12.490952, 12.359785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 13.1, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 281.05, "trend": 12.22, "fair_value": 9.211704, "relative_strength": -12.784122, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.599572, "energy": 93.896747, "activity_lines": [ 12.893333, 12.712727, 12.551905, 12.418925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 12.5, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 252.05, "trend": 12.236667, "fair_value": 9.238535, "relative_strength": -15.33968, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.676039, "energy": 78.190313, "activity_lines": [ 12.806667, 12.696364, 12.555238, 12.436989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.0, "volume": 850, "typical_volume": 278.35, "trend": 12.27, "fair_value": 9.266521, "relative_strength": -9.955313, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.452512, "energy": 78.770042, "activity_lines": [ 12.873333, 12.767273, 12.608571, 12.486237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.0, "volume": 7095, "typical_volume": 632.55, "trend": 12.306667, "fair_value": 9.29707, "relative_strength": -10.903393, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.795144, "energy": 51.220638, "activity_lines": [ 12.913333, 12.825455, 12.661905, 12.533333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.4, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 627.55, "trend": 12.346667, "fair_value": 9.322235, "relative_strength": -14.48163, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.010535, "energy": 19.882217, "activity_lines": [ 12.74, 12.765455, 12.648095, 12.539355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.0, "volume": 150, "typical_volume": 609.8, "trend": 12.393333, "fair_value": 9.348172, "relative_strength": -12.529743, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.88849, "energy": 33.53475, "activity_lines": [ 12.806667, 12.818182, 12.691905, 12.581505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }