{ "ticker": { "uuid": "715af75d-ce6c-47b2-9286-a48af56e2a8a", "symbol": "SNAP", "name": "Snap Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.879, "architecture_energy": 27.563, "architecture_maturity": 46.31, "architecture_confidence": 64.663, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.14, "rotation_up": 27.39, "upward_expansion": 17.27, "deceleration": 63.16, "rotation_down": 38.02, "downward_expansion": 64.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 84.377333, 83.3, 87.741286, 88.78357 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 91.129997, "trend_reference": 92.713333, "distance_from_trend": -0.017078, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 177.571539, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.486798, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.729946, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.012556, "excess_performance": 0.067222, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.017078, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178343, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.486798, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034081, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.227299, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095493, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.012556, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.345153, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 88322, "relative_activity": 3.857732, "balance": 0.345153, "dry_up": 1.13291, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074002, "annualized_volatility": 0.642682, "from_high_reference": -0.450362, "from_low_reference": 0.30316 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 92.713333, "fair_value_reference": 177.571539, "structural_low": 69.93, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.013125, "positive_rate": 0.459459, "directional_follow_through": 0.540541, "median_excess_return": -0.034431, "regime_survival": 0.810811, "best_return": 0.2765, "worst_return": -0.43617, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.065569, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.100367, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.37098, "worst_return": -0.587, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.157185, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.2416, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.564586, "worst_return": -0.714021, 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"close": 76.860001, "volume": 6998, "typical_volume": 19209.65, "trend": 96.739666, "fair_value": 178.722628, "relative_strength": -36.200005, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.233334, "energy": 77.541317, "activity_lines": [ 79.261334, 82.668182, 87.879238, 89.780258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 84.870003, "volume": 369, "typical_volume": 18492.15, "trend": 94.709, "fair_value": 178.083526, "relative_strength": -28.836952, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.924845, "energy": 50.244827, "activity_lines": [ 81.026001, 82.286546, 87.519, 89.014473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 91.129997, "volume": 88322, "typical_volume": 22894.8, "trend": 92.713333, "fair_value": 177.571539, "relative_strength": -22.729946, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.878682, "energy": 27.563195, "activity_lines": [ 84.377333, 83.3, 87.741286, 88.78357 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }