{ "ticker": { "uuid": "715f7b73-e34f-4008-949f-e10926cf64d3", "symbol": "1465", "name": "Wisher Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 76.739, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.005, "architecture_energy": 14.224, "architecture_maturity": 30.074, "architecture_confidence": 68.575, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.4, "rotation_up": 32.95, "upward_expansion": 62.41, "deceleration": 83.41, "rotation_down": 25.32, "downward_expansion": 14.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.335879, 12.390744, 12.279143, 12.210359 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.15, "trend_reference": 12.150787, "distance_from_trend": -6.5e-05, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.864855, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.055566, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -30.490283, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.011703, "excess_performance": -0.429669, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -6.5e-05, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002158, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.055566, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036652, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.304903, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068853, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.011703, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.928061, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 994875, "relative_activity": 2.024828, "balance": 0.928061, "dry_up": 1.276859, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042501, "annualized_volatility": 0.117503, "from_high_reference": -0.074799, "from_low_reference": 0.054572 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.150787, "fair_value_reference": 12.864855, "structural_low": 11.52126, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.47619, "median_excess_return": -0.005746, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.053176, "worst_return": -0.044304, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.014815, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.051613, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.078571, "worst_return": -0.037317, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.064833, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.06155, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.088024, "worst_return": 0.032764, 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546862.55, "trend": 12.139633, "fair_value": 12.858488, "relative_strength": -26.325295, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.696298, "energy": 60.416296, "activity_lines": [ 12.500892, 12.351181, 12.19589, 12.155171 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.546457, "volume": 494564, "typical_volume": 550285.45, "trend": 12.144515, "fair_value": 12.861843, "relative_strength": -27.430873, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.209569, "energy": 57.053004, "activity_lines": [ 12.536693, 12.413314, 12.23727, 12.181417 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.4, "volume": 562890, "typical_volume": 530533.65, "trend": 12.152651, "fair_value": 12.863443, "relative_strength": -26.526259, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.950759, "energy": 37.578539, "activity_lines": [ 12.500892, 12.432842, 12.262842, 12.1979 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.35, "volume": 457148, "typical_volume": 500150.05, "trend": 12.154239, "fair_value": 12.86479, "relative_strength": -27.750273, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.806418, "energy": 28.116435, "activity_lines": [ 12.441916, 12.431739, 12.281792, 12.210633 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 12.15, "volume": 994875, "typical_volume": 491338.05, "trend": 12.150787, "fair_value": 12.864855, "relative_strength": -30.490283, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.004801, "energy": 14.223904, "activity_lines": [ 12.335879, 12.390744, 12.279143, 12.210359 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }