{ "ticker": { "uuid": "71703e35-2b8a-4718-b3e0-1c9bd701c515", "symbol": "XZMD", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA ESG UCITS ETF 1D", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.103, "architecture_energy": 65.6, "architecture_maturity": 71.308, "architecture_confidence": 74.182, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.18, "rotation_up": 53.14, "upward_expansion": 82.24, "deceleration": 70.58, "rotation_down": 28.87, "downward_expansion": 11.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.3176, 11.266, 11.116251, 10.871729 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.658, "trend_reference": 10.60948, "distance_from_trend": 0.098829, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.155364, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.273352, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.134228, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.148669, "excess_performance": 0.084029, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.098829, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031722, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.273352, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03649, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.041342, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048412, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.148669, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.43498, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8410, "relative_activity": 0.292572, "balance": 7.43498, "dry_up": 0.370254, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018559, "annualized_volatility": 0.140027, "from_high_reference": -0.002737, "from_low_reference": 0.2396 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.60948, "fair_value_reference": 9.155364, "structural_low": 9.404644, "invalidation": "A 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2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.82471, "energy": 67.971328, "activity_lines": [ 11.233733, 11.199899, 10.944237, 10.726277 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.088, "volume": 9689, "typical_volume": 32321.05, "trend": 10.543569, "fair_value": 9.097213, "relative_strength": 4.262999, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.404665, "energy": 59.729453, "activity_lines": [ 11.1876, 11.184509, 10.986599, 10.762979 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.144, "volume": 16042, "typical_volume": 29514.15, "trend": 10.57281, "fair_value": 9.124448, "relative_strength": 2.463198, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.338435, "energy": 48.093603, "activity_lines": [ 11.167733, 11.178655, 11.029705, 10.801716 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.658, "volume": 8410, "typical_volume": 28745.1, "trend": 10.60948, "fair_value": 9.155364, "relative_strength": 4.134228, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.103322, "energy": 65.600073, "activity_lines": [ 11.3176, 11.266, 11.116251, 10.871729 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }