{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "717a1752-9f1d-4c03-9c46-94512055925a",
    "symbol": "2832",
    "name": "Taiwan Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.518,
    "architecture_energy": 66.396,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.622,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.343,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.24,
        "rotation_up": 65.64,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 61.44,
        "rotation_down": 21.99,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        58.353334,
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        52.693511
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 58.700001,
    "trend_reference": 50.119041,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.171212,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 37.540415,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.563648,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -12.070706,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.300769,
    "excess_performance": -0.140603,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171212,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064039,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.563648,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149924,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120707,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118951,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.300769,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.398267,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 395735,
      "relative_activity": 0.325458,
      "balance": 3.398267,
      "dry_up": 0.780638,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039883,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.182727,
      "from_high_reference": -0.028146,
      "from_low_reference": 0.464152
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 50.119041,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.540415,
      "structural_low": 42.55246,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.010257,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.888889,
        "best_return": 0.109024,
        "worst_return": -0.044574,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.067542,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.052568,
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 36.893948,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 67.435983,
        "energy": 70.684125,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 59.400002,
        "volume": 1444412,
        "typical_volume": 1239701.75,
        "trend": 49.34235,
        "fair_value": 37.11276,
        "relative_strength": -6.298384,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 85.077841,
        "energy": 71.62521,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 58.599998,
        "volume": 1106178,
        "typical_volume": 1239908.6,
        "trend": 49.725908,
        "fair_value": 37.326443,
        "relative_strength": -9.558386,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.513544,
        "energy": 67.169988,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 58.700001,
        "volume": 395735,
        "typical_volume": 1215933.1,
        "trend": 50.119041,
        "fair_value": 37.540415,
        "relative_strength": -12.070706,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.518472,
        "energy": 66.396351,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}