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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.845, "architecture_energy": 69.95, "architecture_maturity": 42.788, "architecture_confidence": 93.251, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.38, "rotation_up": 64.94, "upward_expansion": 87.32, "deceleration": 48.42, "rotation_down": 18.47, "downward_expansion": 13.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 95.319334, 93.754909, 91.098499, 88.221617 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 98.040001, "trend_reference": 84.528338, "distance_from_trend": 0.159848, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 63.992819, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.532047, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.393089, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.349308, "excess_performance": 0.228887, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.159848, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097069, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.532047, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149012, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.143931, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006267, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.349308, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.004109, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7568200, "relative_activity": 1.587527, "balance": 2.004109, "dry_up": 1.185485, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04794, "annualized_volatility": 0.419197, "from_high_reference": -0.030267, "from_low_reference": 0.755288 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 84.528338, "fair_value_reference": 63.992819, "structural_low": 70.068522, 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12.321145, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.988363, "energy": 41.55948, "activity_lines": [ 92.048, 91.82709, 88.985235, 86.462228 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 96.139999, "volume": 4925800, "typical_volume": 4810385.0, "trend": 83.826063, "fair_value": 63.801893, "relative_strength": 16.48519, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.953541, "energy": 52.016649, "activity_lines": [ 93.522, 92.681454, 90.001725, 87.304588 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 98.040001, "volume": 7568200, "typical_volume": 4767290.0, "trend": 84.528338, "fair_value": 63.992819, "relative_strength": 14.393089, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.845135, "energy": 69.949725, "activity_lines": [ 95.319334, 93.754909, 91.098499, 88.221617 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }