{ "ticker": { "uuid": "719b0feb-6e21-47a0-83be-15af9274632a", "symbol": "DLINKINDIA", "name": "D-Link (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 78.149, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.478, "architecture_energy": 23.445, "architecture_maturity": 60.164, "architecture_confidence": 87.98, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.03, "rotation_up": 19.44, "upward_expansion": 52.05, "deceleration": 88.32, "rotation_down": 51.13, "downward_expansion": 31.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 453.026672, 466.860075, 466.848805, 455.214718 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 444.950012, "trend_reference": 438.569317, "distance_from_trend": 0.014549, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 427.218199, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.041505, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.689638, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.146926, "excess_performance": 0.190635, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014549, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032807, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.041505, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1018, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.006896, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05906, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.146926, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.683137, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 475346, "relative_activity": 0.73365, "balance": 2.683137, "dry_up": 0.96794, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058743, "annualized_volatility": 0.282241, "from_high_reference": -0.146856, "from_low_reference": 0.210254 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 438.569317, "fair_value_reference": 427.218199, "structural_low": 377.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.027438, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.35, "median_excess_return": -0.039828, "regime_survival": 0.65, "best_return": 0.210038, "worst_return": -0.149535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.043323, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.03146, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.097749, "worst_return": -0.108681, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.02573, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.037958, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.265253, "worst_return": -0.207384, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.000702, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.039609, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.022995, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.080871, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.028358, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 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467.906466, 453.676888 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 451.799988, "volume": 346209, "typical_volume": 641925.75, "trend": 436.809316, "fair_value": 426.288623, "relative_strength": 2.806296, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.21075, "energy": 20.895791, "activity_lines": [ 461.974849, 472.166063, 467.858706, 454.689512 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 444.950012, "volume": 475346, "typical_volume": 647919.0, "trend": 438.569317, "fair_value": 427.218199, "relative_strength": 0.689638, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.478303, "energy": 23.44506, "activity_lines": [ 453.026672, 466.860075, 466.848805, 455.214718 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }