{ "ticker": { "uuid": "71ab29b4-b6b0-48e8-ae70-24c61aa84325", "symbol": "SEAT", "name": "Vivid Seats Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 27.402, "architecture_energy": 12.127, "architecture_maturity": 23.788, "architecture_confidence": 38.742, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.22, "rotation_up": 36.44, "upward_expansion": 58.98, "deceleration": 61.03, "rotation_down": 21.74, "downward_expansion": 15.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.399333, 7.273273, 7.527619, 7.368731 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 7.6, "trend_reference": 7.176, "distance_from_trend": 0.059086, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 64.578205, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.882313, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -27.757815, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.095101, "excess_performance": -0.092353, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059086, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011842, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.882313, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000496, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.277578, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.25843, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.095101, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.537833, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 405391, "relative_activity": 0.833226, "balance": 0.537833, "dry_up": 0.75299, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.223482, "annualized_volatility": 0.998561, "from_high_reference": -0.594126, "from_low_reference": 0.501976 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.176, "fair_value_reference": 64.578205, "structural_low": 5.06, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.004556, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.025986, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.173529, "worst_return": -0.20749, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.007102, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.05594, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.140518, "worst_return": -0.355353, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.054852, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.040183, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.170316, "worst_return": -0.587699, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 6.976667, 7.353636, 7.485571, 7.312129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.01, "volume": 433072, "typical_volume": 530271.15, "trend": 7.140667, "fair_value": 66.43141, "relative_strength": -34.771128, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -9.483103, "energy": 10.963908, "activity_lines": [ 6.983333, 7.211818, 7.461238, 7.304516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.7, "volume": 316533, "typical_volume": 508798.6, "trend": 7.164, "fair_value": 65.484615, "relative_strength": -24.94124, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.598476, "energy": 11.380004, "activity_lines": [ 7.252667, 7.249091, 7.503476, 7.340602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.6, "volume": 405391, "typical_volume": 486532.1, "trend": 7.176, "fair_value": 64.578205, "relative_strength": -27.757815, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.402474, "energy": 12.127015, "activity_lines": [ 7.399333, 7.273273, 7.527619, 7.368731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }