{ "ticker": { "uuid": "71b72b99-c5fe-4380-a014-0eb61a5fd4b4", "symbol": "INSE", "name": "Inspired Entertainment Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.1, "architecture_energy": 60.701, "architecture_maturity": 13.67, "architecture_confidence": 81.788, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.82, "rotation_up": 8.88, "upward_expansion": 11.86, "deceleration": 38.5, "rotation_down": 70.04, "downward_expansion": 85.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.730667, 7.100909, 7.28719, 7.324925 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.65, "trend_reference": 7.564333, "distance_from_trend": -0.120874, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.858622, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.249319, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.075802, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.235632, "excess_performance": -0.423086, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.120874, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052563, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.249319, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096575, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.280758, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078243, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.235632, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.752625, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 723533, "relative_activity": 1.217818, "balance": 0.752625, "dry_up": 0.977118, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.121028, "annualized_volatility": 0.532197, "from_high_reference": -0.331658, "from_low_reference": 0.090164 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.564333, "fair_value_reference": 8.858622, "structural_low": 6.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.027519, "positive_rate": 0.590909, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": -0.018544, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.509615, "worst_return": -0.290235, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.198337, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": 0.046274, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.464968, "worst_return": -0.420357, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.300475, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.133795, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.374735, "worst_return": -0.273504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.211076, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.079951, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.056667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.004459, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.086207, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": 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"activity_lines": [ 7.294667, 7.529455, 7.439476, 7.521247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.64, "volume": 536435, "typical_volume": 645806.9, "trend": 7.729, "fair_value": 8.936635, "relative_strength": -25.394751, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.481622, "energy": 40.400301, "activity_lines": [ 6.990667, 7.362, 7.377095, 7.444817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.88, "volume": 506825, "typical_volume": 615303.1, "trend": 7.659333, "fair_value": 8.895994, "relative_strength": -22.449268, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.973201, "energy": 44.980412, "activity_lines": [ 6.857333, 7.250909, 7.34381, 7.390043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.65, "volume": 723533, "typical_volume": 594122.3, "trend": 7.564333, "fair_value": 8.858622, "relative_strength": -28.075802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.100114, "energy": 60.70077, "activity_lines": [ 6.730667, 7.100909, 7.28719, 7.324925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }