{ "ticker": { "uuid": "71c308b9-fa5c-40c3-959f-6944ad3ab96a", "symbol": "LNF", "name": "Leon's Furniture Limited", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.811, "architecture_energy": 40.248, "architecture_maturity": 67.934, "architecture_confidence": 89.429, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.45, "rotation_up": 24.79, "upward_expansion": 4.75, "deceleration": 58.08, "rotation_down": 51.77, "downward_expansion": 80.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.992001, 24.066714, 24.396679, 24.832813 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 23.620001, "trend_reference": 25.512692, "distance_from_trend": -0.074186, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.461053, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.006775, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.277607, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.140162, "excess_performance": -0.260583, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.074186, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043232, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.006775, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069106, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212776, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023151, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.140162, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.187389, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69900, "relative_activity": 0.771651, "balance": 1.187389, "dry_up": 1.418005, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040857, "annualized_volatility": 0.177723, "from_high_reference": -0.198365, "from_low_reference": 0.016351 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.512692, "fair_value_reference": 23.461053, "structural_low": 23.24, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.015717, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": -0.016972, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.209581, "worst_return": -0.183064, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.036507, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.039648, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.186512, "worst_return": -0.225601, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.070601, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.012351, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.216853, "worst_return": -0.246062, "sufficient": 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.445052, "energy": 49.214756, "activity_lines": [ 24.038667, 24.192791, 24.661983, 25.167181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.860001, "volume": 94200, "typical_volume": 106525.0, "trend": 25.748376, "fair_value": 23.385965, "relative_strength": -19.423257, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.344629, "energy": 44.950446, "activity_lines": [ 23.956, 24.118502, 24.548702, 25.037419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.610001, "volume": 117800, "typical_volume": 105445.0, "trend": 25.653033, "fair_value": 23.422688, "relative_strength": -16.030175, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.736926, "energy": 35.553041, "activity_lines": [ 24.156001, 24.185876, 24.517881, 24.963976 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.620001, "volume": 69900, "typical_volume": 90585.0, "trend": 25.512692, "fair_value": 23.461053, "relative_strength": -21.277607, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.811057, "energy": 40.248015, "activity_lines": [ 23.992001, 24.066714, 24.396679, 24.832813 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }