{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "71d2b9ea-293b-40ff-b55e-d3ce98cbebf7",
    "symbol": "PMEH",
    "name": "Amundi PEA Immobilier Europe (FTSE EPRA/NAREIT) UCITS ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 49.347,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 37.785,
    "architecture_energy": 52.99,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.259,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.247,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.65,
        "rotation_up": 68.95,
        "upward_expansion": 62.78,
        "deceleration": 19.52,
        "rotation_down": 18.81,
        "downward_expansion": 18.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.290267,
        13.161291,
        12.990595,
        12.95112
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 13.336,
    "trend_reference": 12.9697,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.028243,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.312925,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.08309,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.591351,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.005656,
    "excess_performance": -0.047656,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028243,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011701,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08309,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034239,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025914,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00549,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005656,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.038135,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 20728,
      "relative_activity": 0.601038,
      "balance": 3.038135,
      "dry_up": 0.669412,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027941,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.203317,
      "from_high_reference": -0.057393,
      "from_low_reference": 0.140609
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.9697,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.312925,
      "structural_low": 11.692,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.076058,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.091842,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.002746,
        "worst_return": -0.098024,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.067751,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.083835,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.003766,
        "worst_return": -0.131736,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.075764,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.099339,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.015065,
        "worst_return": -0.136464,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.019903,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048845,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.003531,
        "worst_return": -0.036276,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016579,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.035198,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.068564,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.001185,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023821,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.016466,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.012825,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037853,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.008004,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.052708,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039336,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.024182,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009538,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 10.126,
        "volume": 24630,
        "typical_volume": 34032.25,
        "trend": 10.649467,
        "fair_value": 13.704442,
        "relative_strength": -10.417891,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.847549,
        "energy": 15.051273,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.13147,
        "energy": 14.705084,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.912533,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 12.685,
        "volume": 60408,
        "typical_volume": 56686.9,
        "trend": 12.822777,
        "fair_value": 12.094188,
        "relative_strength": -2.042389,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 6.988647,
        "energy": 10.607064,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.852733,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 12.7,
        "volume": 36790,
        "typical_volume": 57938.25,
        "trend": 12.822043,
        "fair_value": 12.109829,
        "relative_strength": 0.069821,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 2.300151,
        "energy": 4.274529,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.7826,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 12.706,
        "volume": 31536,
        "typical_volume": 57841.35,
        "trend": 12.8112,
        "fair_value": 12.127028,
        "relative_strength": -1.811712,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.501732,
        "energy": 11.699682,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 17045,
        "typical_volume": 57057.75,
        "trend": 12.8197,
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        "relative_strength": -1.23281,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.799809,
        "energy": 9.422724,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 12.401,
        "volume": 8230,
        "typical_volume": 55961.55,
        "trend": 12.811667,
        "fair_value": 12.154496,
        "relative_strength": -5.066831,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.063127,
        "energy": 19.944906,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 12.723,
        "volume": 5182,
        "typical_volume": 54782.7,
        "trend": 12.817333,
        "fair_value": 12.169771,
        "relative_strength": -3.986681,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 15.349231,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 2854,
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        "trend": 12.8205,
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        "relative_strength": -6.0366,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 34.576453,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 13.09,
        "volume": 2503,
        "typical_volume": 51831.8,
        "trend": 12.833033,
        "fair_value": 12.208713,
        "relative_strength": -1.161903,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.555153,
        "energy": 12.69235,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.758067,
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          12.754757,
          12.823819
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 13.174,
        "volume": 46672,
        "typical_volume": 51709.7,
        "trend": 12.856367,
        "fair_value": 12.229329,
        "relative_strength": -1.821273,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.997383,
        "energy": 15.677466,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.909133,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.016,
        "volume": 23478,
        "typical_volume": 51264.55,
        "trend": 12.883633,
        "fair_value": 12.245976,
        "relative_strength": -0.966874,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.341386,
        "energy": 23.496746,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.987267,
          12.856582,
          12.799829,
          12.856116
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.214,
        "volume": 22590,
        "typical_volume": 50644.0,
        "trend": 12.909867,
        "fair_value": 12.261322,
        "relative_strength": 0.576991,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.186817,
        "energy": 39.004511,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.0904,
          12.933945,
          12.837786,
          12.87743
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.21,
        "volume": 10739,
        "typical_volume": 43860.75,
        "trend": 12.933267,
        "fair_value": 12.277143,
        "relative_strength": 0.186785,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.818989,
        "energy": 46.346565,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.159467,
          13.000964,
          12.87961,
          12.896794
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.4,
        "volume": 38287,
        "typical_volume": 35445.45,
        "trend": 12.960667,
        "fair_value": 12.295137,
        "relative_strength": 0.08,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 43.414994,
        "energy": 54.668906,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.245867,
          13.093255,
          12.939876,
          12.926905
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.336,
        "volume": 20728,
        "typical_volume": 34487.0,
        "trend": 12.9697,
        "fair_value": 12.312925,
        "relative_strength": -2.591351,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.785265,
        "energy": 52.989991,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.290267,
          13.161291,
          12.990595,
          12.95112
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}