{ "ticker": { "uuid": "71d585a9-4d38-4417-8194-de2c4dd2a4cc", "symbol": "2235", "name": "I Yuan Precision Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.87, "architecture_energy": 49.544, "architecture_maturity": 42.064, "architecture_confidence": 93.577, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.05, "rotation_up": 18.24, "upward_expansion": 7.45, "deceleration": 47.57, "rotation_down": 56.85, "downward_expansion": 78.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.18, 27.540479, 28.211203, 29.090708 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 27.299999, "trend_reference": 30.360176, "distance_from_trend": -0.100796, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 37.635933, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.274629, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.699746, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.196188, "excess_performance": -0.63756, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.100796, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044186, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.274629, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027972, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.396997, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056876, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.196188, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.20094, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30050, "relative_activity": 0.564045, "balance": 0.20094, "dry_up": 0.563726, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058512, "annualized_volatility": 0.224512, "from_high_reference": -0.303945, "from_low_reference": 0.076923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.360176, "fair_value_reference": 37.635933, "structural_low": 25.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.003322, "positive_rate": 0.44, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": -0.037935, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.081081, "worst_return": -0.119134, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.007571, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.083931, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.265547, "worst_return": -0.154535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.005652, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018981, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.288265, "worst_return": -0.20268, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 28.245614, 28.498469, 29.184537, 30.041427 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.0, "volume": 32082, "typical_volume": 50923.35, "trend": 30.824036, "fair_value": 37.805159, "relative_strength": -41.095875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.797808, "energy": 59.03368, "activity_lines": [ 27.797544, 28.191101, 28.895389, 29.785037 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.200001, "volume": 20100, "typical_volume": 50728.35, "trend": 30.642632, "fair_value": 37.746703, "relative_strength": -40.94043, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.000919, "energy": 66.801255, "activity_lines": [ 27.177544, 27.771005, 28.554186, 29.486712 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.700001, "volume": 37900, "typical_volume": 51823.35, "trend": 30.495439, "fair_value": 37.693005, "relative_strength": -37.883737, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.147081, "energy": 53.325844, "activity_lines": [ 27.224562, 27.665742, 28.388973, 29.296865 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 27.299999, "volume": 30050, "typical_volume": 53275.85, "trend": 30.360176, "fair_value": 37.635933, "relative_strength": -39.699746, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.870257, "energy": 49.544092, "activity_lines": [ 27.18, 27.540479, 28.211203, 29.090708 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }