{ "ticker": { "uuid": "71e56f2a-3bcb-4977-9737-34b0491940b6", "symbol": "001226", "name": "Anhui Tuoshan Heavy Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 79.606, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.375, "architecture_energy": 69.206, "architecture_maturity": 12.799, "architecture_confidence": 80.736, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.97, "rotation_up": 8.46, "upward_expansion": 15.08, "deceleration": 37.31, "rotation_down": 72.52, "downward_expansion": 88.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.320666, 43.288182, 45.794047, 46.133527 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 41.59, "trend_reference": 46.73, "distance_from_trend": -0.109994, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.831973, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.229311, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.356711, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.197569, "excess_performance": -0.204969, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.109994, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034162, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.229311, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.298004, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.073567, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109494, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.197569, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.670009, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2734300, "relative_activity": 0.510911, "balance": 0.670009, "dry_up": 0.917187, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.132669, "annualized_volatility": 0.386452, "from_high_reference": -0.252919, "from_low_reference": 0.216082 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.73, "fair_value_reference": 33.831973, "structural_low": 34.450001, 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"direction": 37.328215, "energy": 22.229675, "activity_lines": [ 49.892667, 50.164363, 48.599762, 48.068538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 45.43, "volume": 5184992, "typical_volume": 5568685.3, "trend": 47.277667, "fair_value": 33.568414, "relative_strength": -4.337164, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.69774, "energy": 9.930348, "activity_lines": [ 48.28, 49.308909, 48.404714, 47.959935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 42.290001, "volume": 7514474, "typical_volume": 5584309.0, "trend": 47.253333, "fair_value": 33.649166, "relative_strength": -2.472599, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.965314, "energy": 25.783275, "activity_lines": [ 45.94, 47.926364, 47.926952, 47.63815 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.029999, "volume": 5368262, "typical_volume": 5554442.0, "trend": 47.061333, "fair_value": 33.701425, "relative_strength": -12.776204, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.740727, "energy": 55.654827, "activity_lines": [ 42.706667, 45.896364, 47.058857, 47.043097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.189999, "volume": 4017405, "typical_volume": 5407580.7, "trend": 46.817, "fair_value": 33.755271, "relative_strength": -10.58325, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.330299, "energy": 72.927182, "activity_lines": [ 40.600666, 44.165454, 46.246857, 46.470752 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.59, "volume": 2734300, "typical_volume": 5351810.7, "trend": 46.73, "fair_value": 33.831973, "relative_strength": -7.356711, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.374688, "energy": 69.206348, "activity_lines": [ 40.320666, 43.288182, 45.794047, 46.133527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }