{ "ticker": { "uuid": "71f05b25-5fcb-43d1-94bc-3f0c08e10154", "symbol": "MFEM", "name": "PIMCO EQUITY SERIES RAFI DYNMC MULT FACTR EMRNG MKTS EQT ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 68.414, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 10.77, "architecture_energy": 13.861, "architecture_maturity": 38.524, "architecture_confidence": 91.834, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.37, "rotation_up": 21.34, "upward_expansion": 42.72, "deceleration": 81.5, "rotation_down": 37.47, "downward_expansion": 34.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.162593, 27.384429, 27.673753, 27.331858 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 27.77, "trend_reference": 26.822556, "distance_from_trend": 0.035323, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.47954, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.355988, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.346551, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.081971, "excess_performance": -0.043654, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.035323, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063658, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.355988, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124366, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.003466, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122942, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.081971, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.508968, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50012, "relative_activity": 0.518517, "balance": 1.508968, "dry_up": 0.857147, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053221, "annualized_volatility": 0.273879, "from_high_reference": -0.086207, "from_low_reference": 0.319805 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.822556, "fair_value_reference": 20.47954, "structural_low": 24.065717, "invalidation": "A 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"direction": 17.174049, "energy": 19.113299, "activity_lines": [ 27.375835, 27.841491, 27.691491, 27.224635 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.0249, "volume": 107599, "typical_volume": 105083.15, "trend": 26.582538, "fair_value": 20.345862, "relative_strength": 1.72576, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.503449, "energy": 15.147513, "activity_lines": [ 27.151146, 27.649562, 27.685147, 27.261662 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.5908, "volume": 108820, "typical_volume": 106393.15, "trend": 26.690233, "fair_value": 20.407862, "relative_strength": -1.105043, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.636669, "energy": 13.24134, "activity_lines": [ 26.935333, 27.395754, 27.627819, 27.262195 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.77, "volume": 50012, "typical_volume": 96451.95, "trend": 26.822556, "fair_value": 20.47954, "relative_strength": -0.346551, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.76978, "energy": 13.860691, "activity_lines": [ 27.162593, 27.384429, 27.673753, 27.331858 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }