{ "ticker": { "uuid": "71f867b7-503e-433f-aa0f-6430c336c883", "symbol": "2367", "name": "Unitech Printed Circuit Board Corp.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.337, "architecture_energy": 70.076, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.536, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.24, "rotation_up": 14.65, "upward_expansion": 15.43, "deceleration": 41.98, "rotation_down": 65.02, "downward_expansion": 86.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.544535, 43.749281, 50.374171, 54.636925 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 42.099998, "trend_reference": 57.849643, "distance_from_trend": -0.272251, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.546379, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.293539, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.813828, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.193653, "excess_performance": -0.539385, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.272251, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129371, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.293539, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.942178, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.278138, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.502373, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.193653, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.641353, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18046244, "relative_activity": 0.117347, "balance": 0.641353, "dry_up": 0.231871, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.15932, "annualized_volatility": 0.656946, "from_high_reference": -0.48687, "from_low_reference": 0.848613 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.849643, "fair_value_reference": 32.546379, "structural_low": 32.867907, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.011719, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": 0.001658, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.198795, "worst_return": -0.241319, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.001639, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.02628, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.275072, "worst_return": -0.159277, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.029716, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.101367, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.251641, "worst_return": -0.160656, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -60.24646, "energy": 82.371368, "activity_lines": [ 42.584076, 48.502199, 54.990108, 57.511699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.400002, "volume": 36471222, "typical_volume": 222353718.3, "trend": 57.222292, "fair_value": 32.201486, "relative_strength": -28.030957, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.299545, "energy": 85.878407, "activity_lines": [ 41.155115, 46.306973, 53.206122, 56.519734 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 43.599998, "volume": 40171547, "typical_volume": 177495659.65, "trend": 57.661245, "fair_value": 32.375522, "relative_strength": -26.632099, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.398071, "energy": 82.387775, "activity_lines": [ 41.34595, 44.990378, 51.78022, 55.640877 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 42.099998, "volume": 18046244, "typical_volume": 153785324.6, "trend": 57.849643, "fair_value": 32.546379, "relative_strength": -27.813828, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.336972, "energy": 70.0758, "activity_lines": [ 41.544535, 43.749281, 50.374171, 54.636925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }