{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "72099d92-e18a-4fcc-8c4b-cdd7dae21de4",
    "symbol": "VOTE",
    "name": "TCW TRANSFORM 500 ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.627,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.724,
    "architecture_energy": 56.483,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.899,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.478,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.46,
        "rotation_up": 55.64,
        "upward_expansion": 81.44,
        "deceleration": 62.99,
        "rotation_down": 26.14,
        "downward_expansion": 8.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        88.851453,
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        87.368003,
        85.603498
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 91.2181,
    "trend_reference": 83.617279,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.0909,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 68.325019,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.335061,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.786471,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.126993,
    "excess_performance": -0.06046,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0909,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033879,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.335061,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006977,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017865,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050336,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126993,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.331894,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 139363,
      "relative_activity": 1.151522,
      "balance": 2.331894,
      "dry_up": 0.939903,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023969,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.141245,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002427,
      "from_low_reference": 0.23443
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 83.617279,
      "fair_value_reference": 68.325019,
      "structural_low": 73.8949,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.015245,
        "positive_rate": 0.69697,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.69697,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001455,
        "regime_survival": 0.787879,
        "best_return": 0.070645,
        "worst_return": -0.12117,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.05293,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": 0.042014,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.159004,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 83.5036,
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        "typical_volume": 133845.35,
        "trend": 79.27606,
        "fair_value": 64.36824,
        "relative_strength": -1.956013,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.568208,
        "energy": 14.600228,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 134120.6,
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        "fair_value": 64.607438,
        "relative_strength": -3.63429,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 64.854479,
        "relative_strength": -4.025387,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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        "energy": 59.484148,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 132963.55,
        "trend": 80.018512,
        "fair_value": 65.113839,
        "relative_strength": -6.82009,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 82.917448,
        "energy": 86.611048,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 134342.75,
        "trend": 80.312198,
        "fair_value": 65.368959,
        "relative_strength": -6.187095,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.406597,
        "energy": 87.900652,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 134790.35,
        "trend": 80.58351,
        "fair_value": 65.628329,
        "relative_strength": -6.26701,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.567635,
        "energy": 88.756501,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 88.81544,
        "volume": 182501,
        "typical_volume": 139076.75,
        "trend": 80.877241,
        "fair_value": 65.890033,
        "relative_strength": -7.341966,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.608389,
        "energy": 91.279628,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 86.576033,
        "volume": 198550,
        "typical_volume": 145439.25,
        "trend": 81.143727,
        "fair_value": 66.136642,
        "relative_strength": -5.28854,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.692552,
        "energy": 75.727323,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 186394,
        "typical_volume": 150560.85,
        "trend": 81.428704,
        "fair_value": 66.378016,
        "relative_strength": -6.69675,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.456846,
        "energy": 59.128258,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 88.152655,
        "volume": 256884,
        "typical_volume": 159279.65,
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        "fair_value": 66.630555,
        "relative_strength": -7.854174,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 59.55814,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 129040,
        "typical_volume": 160226.85,
        "trend": 82.010986,
        "fair_value": 66.864409,
        "relative_strength": -5.312513,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 59.594682,
        "energy": 48.581382,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 87.8959,
        "volume": 73100,
        "typical_volume": 159171.7,
        "trend": 82.265325,
        "fair_value": 67.111643,
        "relative_strength": -4.362662,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 50.42182,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 89.0053,
        "volume": 56792,
        "typical_volume": 151319.9,
        "trend": 82.573703,
        "fair_value": 67.357929,
        "relative_strength": -4.749211,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.994089,
        "energy": 56.319642,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 87.6431,
        "volume": 112404,
        "typical_volume": 132366.2,
        "trend": 82.834745,
        "fair_value": 67.593189,
        "relative_strength": -2.061223,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.766143,
        "energy": 50.222942,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.923657,
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          86.125492,
          84.512985
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 86.9966,
        "volume": 88060,
        "typical_volume": 121824.7,
        "trend": 83.03508,
        "fair_value": 67.821018,
        "relative_strength": -1.136342,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.707015,
        "energy": 46.928757,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.650133,
          87.607834,
          86.421109,
          84.781491
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 87.85,
        "volume": 115180,
        "typical_volume": 119853.9,
        "trend": 83.291912,
        "fair_value": 68.061448,
        "relative_strength": -0.652177,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.592875,
        "energy": 44.33555,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.738147,
          87.652196,
          86.758697,
          85.092131
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 91.2181,
        "volume": 139363,
        "typical_volume": 121025.0,
        "trend": 83.617279,
        "fair_value": 68.325019,
        "relative_strength": -1.786471,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.724248,
        "energy": 56.482564,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.851453,
          88.302195,
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          85.603498
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}