{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "72101d33-011b-455a-9c49-0ac6705a23ef",
    "symbol": "LGH",
    "name": "NORTHERN LIGHTS FUND TRUST III HCM DEFENDER 500 INDEX ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 58.882,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 76.197,
    "architecture_energy": 50.098,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.116,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.958,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.59,
        "rotation_up": 57.05,
        "upward_expansion": 80.68,
        "deceleration": 53.33,
        "rotation_down": 20.27,
        "downward_expansion": 7.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        62.545985
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 66.9239,
    "trend_reference": 61.855517,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.081939,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 51.70776,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.294272,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.540171,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.071518,
    "excess_performance": -0.054107,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081939,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011065,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.294272,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025164,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025402,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018889,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071518,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.184733,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 111652,
      "relative_activity": 0.886931,
      "balance": 2.184733,
      "dry_up": 0.885153,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033821,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.158692,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004997,
      "from_low_reference": 0.195912
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.855517,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.70776,
      "structural_low": 56.115,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.01746,
        "positive_rate": 0.647059,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.647059,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003397,
        "regime_survival": 0.794118,
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        "worst_return": -0.113011,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.228639,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 137449.55,
        "trend": 61.679423,
        "fair_value": 51.224796,
        "relative_strength": -4.132622,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 52.592556,
        "energy": 31.829366,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 62.7751,
        "volume": 100297,
        "typical_volume": 130993.9,
        "trend": 61.670177,
        "fair_value": 51.368411,
        "relative_strength": -4.466773,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.545803,
        "energy": 28.233742,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 63.9171,
        "volume": 89123,
        "typical_volume": 127663.2,
        "trend": 61.734373,
        "fair_value": 51.527563,
        "relative_strength": -3.715653,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.475128,
        "energy": 32.411224,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.619273,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 66.9239,
        "volume": 111652,
        "typical_volume": 125885.8,
        "trend": 61.855517,
        "fair_value": 51.70776,
        "relative_strength": -2.540171,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.197371,
        "energy": 50.09845,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}