{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "72164858-941b-40fd-9220-e6b067c266da",
    "symbol": "PHW",
    "name": "Purpose International Tactical Hedged Equity Fd Ser ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 75.253,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.711,
    "architecture_energy": 79.11,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.793,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.25,
        "rotation_up": 61.25,
        "upward_expansion": 87.17,
        "deceleration": 53.31,
        "rotation_down": 23.94,
        "downward_expansion": 16.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.405414,
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        21.658572
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 22.76,
    "trend_reference": 21.356315,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.065727,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 18.626802,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.221895,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.270606,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.08422,
    "excess_performance": -0.036201,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065727,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026201,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.221895,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059434,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032706,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041058,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08422,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.941176,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.941176,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013852,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.134194,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000439,
      "from_low_reference": 0.166879
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.356315,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.626802,
      "structural_low": 19.505016,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.009588,
        "positive_rate": 0.634146,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.634146,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00327,
        "regime_survival": 0.804878,
        "best_return": 0.07749,
        "worst_return": -0.061334,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.011996,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013608,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.066462,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018188,
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        "worst_return": -0.09643,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.085295,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "direction": 37.947261,
        "energy": 31.796605,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.065303,
          20.816185,
          20.824399,
          20.767855
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 20.764051,
        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 4610.0,
        "trend": 20.692534,
        "fair_value": 18.084952,
        "relative_strength": -8.498504,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.455751,
        "energy": 29.820326,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.015584,
          20.810824,
          20.823778,
          20.77332
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 21.060116,
        "volume": 3300,
        "typical_volume": 4775.0,
        "trend": 20.718155,
        "fair_value": 18.116828,
        "relative_strength": -7.376366,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.157902,
        "energy": 39.737774,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.025285,
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          20.850703,
          20.797035
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 21.218018,
        "volume": 800,
        "typical_volume": 4815.0,
        "trend": 20.743921,
        "fair_value": 18.149659,
        "relative_strength": -5.726797,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.879972,
        "energy": 25.918673,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.058209,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 21.45487,
        "volume": 800,
        "typical_volume": 4855.0,
        "trend": 20.776942,
        "fair_value": 18.185192,
        "relative_strength": -6.133261,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.148514,
        "energy": 33.652428,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.179475,
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          20.946278,
          20.875152
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 21.439177,
        "volume": 1300,
        "typical_volume": 3700.0,
        "trend": 20.811039,
        "fair_value": 18.221977,
        "relative_strength": -6.719972,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.363983,
        "energy": 46.892604,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.30358,
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          20.996694,
          20.917877
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 21.737219,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3515.0,
        "trend": 20.847073,
        "fair_value": 18.260222,
        "relative_strength": -4.221527,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.730225,
        "energy": 65.337537,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.486904,
          21.310624,
          21.072236,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 21.916044,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3400.0,
        "trend": 20.883628,
        "fair_value": 18.29826,
        "relative_strength": -4.662514,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.537943,
        "energy": 72.672995,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.664959,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 22.28363,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3360.0,
        "trend": 20.950673,
        "fair_value": 18.340627,
        "relative_strength": -2.966373,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.790115,
        "energy": 79.651695,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.90848,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 22.106483,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 2700.0,
        "trend": 21.000295,
        "fair_value": 18.382081,
        "relative_strength": -3.554631,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.076986,
        "energy": 80.116013,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.021912,
          21.735156,
          21.374375,
          21.211487
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 22.285322,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2225.0,
        "trend": 21.055878,
        "fair_value": 18.425304,
        "relative_strength": -3.341491,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.847782,
        "energy": 89.3731,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.151516,
          21.881271,
          21.480997,
          21.294392
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 22.15616,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 1360.0,
        "trend": 21.106836,
        "fair_value": 18.465092,
        "relative_strength": -3.823769,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.123932,
        "energy": 85.378709,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.181656,
          21.977575,
          21.571106,
          21.365378
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 22.06674,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1325.0,
        "trend": 21.165372,
        "fair_value": 18.504138,
        "relative_strength": -3.890446,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.486351,
        "energy": 77.472062,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.15406,
          22.032308,
          21.648778,
          21.427307
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 21.997192,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1270.0,
        "trend": 21.21775,
        "fair_value": 18.541943,
        "relative_strength": -4.257105,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.321296,
        "energy": 67.008111,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.093235,
          22.056095,
          21.71747,
          21.480973
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1200.0,
        "trend": 21.289466,
        "fair_value": 18.584163,
        "relative_strength": -1.456033,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.909414,
        "energy": 63.284918,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.219109,
          22.157134,
          21.825867,
          21.563699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.76,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1180.0,
        "trend": 21.356315,
        "fair_value": 18.626802,
        "relative_strength": -3.270606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.711256,
        "energy": 79.109829,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.405414,
          22.286444,
          21.947889,
          21.658572
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}