{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "721ef600-9e5a-47d1-b4a5-cd1d5fee2c1b",
    "symbol": "CRTO",
    "name": "Caisse R\u00e9gionale de Cr\u00e9dit Agricole Mutuel de la Touraine et du Poitou Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 Coop\u00e9rative",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 60.854,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 7.376,
    "architecture_energy": 12.397,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.175,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.725,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 63.24,
        "rotation_up": 19.09,
        "upward_expansion": 48.09,
        "deceleration": 84.77,
        "rotation_down": 32.19,
        "downward_expansion": 26.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        142.385333,
        144.359636,
        145.257257,
        141.000588
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 138.0,
    "trend_reference": 135.2814,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.020096,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 91.128031,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.514353,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.511158,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.151473,
    "excess_performance": 0.098162,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020096,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100705,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.514353,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.247235,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015112,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.274598,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.151473,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.906296,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2274,
      "relative_activity": 0.860044,
      "balance": 0.906296,
      "dry_up": 1.113822,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.060986,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.289587,
      "from_high_reference": -0.121019,
      "from_low_reference": 0.424803
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 135.2814,
      "fair_value_reference": 91.128031,
      "structural_low": 117.45931,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.027228,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.052044,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.293422,
        "worst_return": -0.134059,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.025105,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029072,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.315609,
        "worst_return": -0.070922,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.270967,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.282888,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.76305,
        "worst_return": 0.071064,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.200137,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.146782,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.427786,
        "worst_return": -0.027513,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
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        "return": -0.065236,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.131117,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.037828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.141976,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.150943,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003454,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008161,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.057676,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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        "trend": 118.587662,
        "fair_value": 83.743134,
        "relative_strength": 14.335296,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 60.683062,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 3778.1,
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        "fair_value": 84.275527,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 3541.9,
        "trend": 119.852327,
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        "relative_strength": 28.970956,
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        "energy": 90.645255,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 3477.5,
        "trend": 120.70609,
        "fair_value": 85.391712,
        "relative_strength": 29.699661,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 90.280706,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 2992,
        "typical_volume": 3392.05,
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        "fair_value": 85.93056,
        "relative_strength": 31.531005,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 448,
        "typical_volume": 3045.15,
        "trend": 124.241819,
        "fair_value": 86.909059,
        "relative_strength": 26.411303,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 199,
        "typical_volume": 2944.15,
        "trend": 125.457438,
        "fair_value": 87.408054,
        "relative_strength": 22.865607,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 87.927302,
        "relative_strength": 23.715494,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 138.5,
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        "typical_volume": 2844.9,
        "trend": 128.051413,
        "fair_value": 88.34244,
        "relative_strength": 9.01533,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.319085,
        "energy": 47.440479,
        "activity_lines": [
          149.32,
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          141.937211,
          136.16451
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 143.300003,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 2714.7,
        "trend": 129.284538,
        "fair_value": 88.788404,
        "relative_strength": 10.516198,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.352632,
        "energy": 36.177226,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 149.899994,
        "volume": 3318,
        "typical_volume": 2741.8,
        "trend": 130.906589,
        "fair_value": 89.279443,
        "relative_strength": 17.113042,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.03195,
        "energy": 31.131223,
        "activity_lines": [
          147.035999,
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          144.021657,
          138.478319
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 145.940002,
        "volume": 1705,
        "typical_volume": 2608.05,
        "trend": 132.31446,
        "fair_value": 89.75674,
        "relative_strength": 13.329579,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.344341,
        "energy": 26.00454,
        "activity_lines": [
          146.211999,
          148.412791,
          144.813623,
          139.448217
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 142.0,
        "volume": 4692,
        "typical_volume": 2791.95,
        "trend": 133.463814,
        "fair_value": 90.211663,
        "relative_strength": 9.271413,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.457135,
        "energy": 19.771165,
        "activity_lines": [
          144.570666,
          147.002182,
          145.122401,
          140.07309
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 144.5,
        "volume": 3109,
        "typical_volume": 2700.55,
        "trend": 134.659976,
        "fair_value": 90.699902,
        "relative_strength": 8.998057,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.739538,
        "energy": 18.824367,
        "activity_lines": [
          144.761333,
          146.171273,
          145.556887,
          140.785102
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 138.0,
        "volume": 2274,
        "typical_volume": 2644.05,
        "trend": 135.2814,
        "fair_value": 91.128031,
        "relative_strength": 1.511158,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 7.37566,
        "energy": 12.396917,
        "activity_lines": [
          142.385333,
          144.359636,
          145.257257,
          141.000588
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}