{ "ticker": { "uuid": "722ba57f-ad26-4c90-b4ff-062ade305ca3", "symbol": "QBT", "name": "Quantum Blockchain Technologies Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.573, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.929, "architecture_energy": 43.89, "architecture_maturity": 91.292, "architecture_confidence": 90.071, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.65, "rotation_up": 27.51, "upward_expansion": 5.92, "deceleration": 57.12, "rotation_down": 48.07, "downward_expansion": 79.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.00352, 0.003546, 0.003624, 0.003848 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.00355, "trend_reference": 0.00426, "distance_from_trend": -0.166667, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.008385, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.576638, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -40.531906, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.29, "excess_performance": -0.341235, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.166667, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.206458, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.576638, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039952, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.405319, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079001, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.29, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.026377, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17944742, "relative_activity": 0.592301, "balance": 1.026377, "dry_up": 0.781713, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085157, "annualized_volatility": 0.555795, "from_high_reference": -0.71371, "from_low_reference": 0.119874 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.00426, "fair_value_reference": 0.008385, "structural_low": 0.00317, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.028571, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.034417, "regime_survival": 0.84375, "best_return": 0.822222, "worst_return": -0.396552, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.013889, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.079167, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 1.679245, "worst_return": -0.487179, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.058214, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.126626, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.773585, "worst_return": -0.534884, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"gate": "down", "direction": -60.07279, "energy": 46.914617, "activity_lines": [ 0.003607, 0.003619, 0.0038, 0.004111 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.00345, "volume": 37941225, "typical_volume": 33788109.8, "trend": 0.004575, "fair_value": 0.008585, "relative_strength": -43.799478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.314882, "energy": 67.155297, "activity_lines": [ 0.00355, 0.003588, 0.003745, 0.004032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.00345, "volume": 28735205, "typical_volume": 31789957.7, "trend": 0.004465, "fair_value": 0.008514, "relative_strength": -43.361828, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.900115, "energy": 60.035137, "activity_lines": [ 0.00351, 0.00356, 0.003694, 0.003959 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00355, "volume": 10112079, "typical_volume": 30422162.85, "trend": 0.004358, "fair_value": 0.008452, "relative_strength": -41.378413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.594457, "energy": 47.065768, "activity_lines": [ 0.003513, 0.003553, 0.003655, 0.0039 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.00355, "volume": 17944742, "typical_volume": 30296679.8, "trend": 0.00426, "fair_value": 0.008385, "relative_strength": -40.531906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.929049, "energy": 43.890226, "activity_lines": [ 0.00352, 0.003546, 0.003624, 0.003848 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }