{ "ticker": { "uuid": "723615de-a0cb-4de6-805e-d36102507f25", "symbol": "EMUSD", "name": "UBS Core MSCI EMU UCITS ETF hUSD dis", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.355, "architecture_energy": 69.046, "architecture_maturity": 76.704, "architecture_confidence": 68.261, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.98, "rotation_up": 55.76, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 70.83, "rotation_down": 28.06, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.938333, 21.839636, 21.425081, 21.006354 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 22.41, "trend_reference": 20.553473, "distance_from_trend": 0.090327, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.586295, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.351115, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.810052, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.119056, "excess_performance": 0.036173, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.090327, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047398, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.351115, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06153, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.028101, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030625, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.119056, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.823344, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 500, "relative_activity": 0.060703, "balance": 0.823344, "dry_up": 0.290463, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018055, "annualized_volatility": 0.168821, "from_high_reference": -0.001559, "from_low_reference": 0.277336 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.553473, "fair_value_reference": 16.586295, "structural_low": 18.636, "invalidation": 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86.308286, "activity_lines": [ 21.802, 21.533091, 20.946448, 20.61663 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 21.495001, "volume": 6130, "typical_volume": 8441.8, "trend": 20.294804, "fair_value": 16.414501, "relative_strength": 0.161597, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.712016, "energy": 64.952959, "activity_lines": [ 21.719667, 21.576727, 21.04451, 20.699226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.684999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8212.9, "trend": 20.382169, "fair_value": 16.468468, "relative_strength": 1.111243, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.796655, "energy": 63.302007, "activity_lines": [ 21.695667, 21.636182, 21.15631, 20.788916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.809999, "volume": 2940, "typical_volume": 8330.5, "trend": 20.467535, "fair_value": 16.525498, "relative_strength": 1.513582, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.828873, "energy": 59.395286, "activity_lines": [ 21.726666, 21.691363, 21.268019, 20.881034 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.41, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 8236.85, "trend": 20.553473, "fair_value": 16.586295, "relative_strength": 2.810052, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.355258, "energy": 69.046437, "activity_lines": [ 21.938333, 21.839636, 21.425081, 21.006354 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }