{ "ticker": { "uuid": "724ab386-8e31-40d3-979d-66bbfa53f0d7", "symbol": "5547", "name": "Jioushun Construction Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 76.37, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 26.182, "architecture_energy": 22.946, "architecture_maturity": 23.321, "architecture_confidence": 43.937, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.35, "rotation_up": 44.47, "upward_expansion": 46.83, "deceleration": 47.74, "rotation_down": 25.73, "downward_expansion": 9.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.876667, 19.852742, 19.474012, 19.404793 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.85, "trend_reference": 19.650108, "distance_from_trend": 0.010173, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.22855, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.152157, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.125448, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.00726, "excess_performance": -0.434112, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010173, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030278, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.152157, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050739, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.311254, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087718, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.00726, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.009711, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 133080, "relative_activity": 0.562263, "balance": 3.009711, "dry_up": 0.441558, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033852, "annualized_volatility": 0.137577, "from_high_reference": -0.184599, "from_low_reference": 0.108711 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.650108, "fair_value_reference": 17.22855, "structural_low": 17.903678, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.013514, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.002427, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.048352, "worst_return": -0.048281, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.00457, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.017989, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.303124, "worst_return": -0.108549, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.09891, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.094683, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.226134, "worst_return": -0.14274, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 19.9, "volume": 47020, "typical_volume": 275240.7, "trend": 19.899621, "fair_value": 17.077103, "relative_strength": -30.390001, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.879553, "energy": 48.604179, "activity_lines": [ 19.93711, 19.624675, 19.265737, 19.389719 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.4, "volume": 123276, "typical_volume": 250032.4, "trend": 19.858322, "fair_value": 17.129278, "relative_strength": -26.869345, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.656529, "energy": 57.397656, "activity_lines": [ 20.109049, 19.815759, 19.382929, 19.422001 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.5, "volume": 114667, "typical_volume": 242870.05, "trend": 19.7584, "fair_value": 17.179013, "relative_strength": -30.939542, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.576108, "energy": 28.029394, "activity_lines": [ 19.923333, 19.809528, 19.411516, 19.398884 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 19.85, "volume": 133080, "typical_volume": 236686.4, "trend": 19.650108, "fair_value": 17.22855, "relative_strength": -31.125448, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.181576, "energy": 22.946193, "activity_lines": [ 19.876667, 19.852742, 19.474012, 19.404793 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }