{ "ticker": { "uuid": "724e1156-7f5a-4c4e-8dac-0adae7706251", "symbol": "QCRH", "name": "QCR Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.245, "architecture_energy": 76.737, "architecture_maturity": 40.63, "architecture_confidence": 83.381, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.93, "rotation_up": 74.92, "upward_expansion": 92.2, "deceleration": 43.54, "rotation_down": 12.68, "downward_expansion": 16.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 101.686667, 99.686526, 96.475202, 94.109057 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 103.87, "trend_reference": 91.687541, "distance_from_trend": 0.132869, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 72.221307, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.438218, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.920508, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.09127, "excess_performance": -0.096183, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.132869, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06199, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.438218, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098079, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.059205, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103407, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.09127, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.800716, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 451106, "relative_activity": 0.84724, "balance": 2.800716, "dry_up": 1.077497, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044651, "annualized_volatility": 0.209636, "from_high_reference": -0.025151, "from_low_reference": 0.563102 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 91.687541, "fair_value_reference": 72.221307, "structural_low": 79.466316, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.019131, "positive_rate": 0.62963, "directional_follow_through": 0.62963, "median_excess_return": 0.013496, "regime_survival": 0.703704, "best_return": 0.151849, "worst_return": -0.117888, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.055048, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.009217, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.186779, "worst_return": -0.107804, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.102035, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.051501, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.186262, "worst_return": -0.076497, "sufficient": true }, { 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90.198083 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 96.65, "volume": 450668, "typical_volume": 551147.8, "trend": 89.007394, "fair_value": 70.582374, "relative_strength": 0.982808, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.745203, "energy": 67.740736, "activity_lines": [ 96.473928, 94.607992, 92.001106, 90.715166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 96.5, "volume": 497728, "typical_volume": 558350.15, "trend": 89.347001, "fair_value": 70.923359, "relative_strength": -1.012777, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.920396, "energy": 60.423238, "activity_lines": [ 96.670578, 95.214916, 92.6278, 91.19856 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 98.6, "volume": 375703, "typical_volume": 547644.6, "trend": 89.790506, "fair_value": 71.25952, "relative_strength": 5.411571, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.582633, "energy": 59.711117, "activity_lines": [ 97.363333, 96.099556, 93.434063, 91.795528 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 100.15, "volume": 796819, "typical_volume": 555312.45, "trend": 90.309944, "fair_value": 71.569142, "relative_strength": 8.597977, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.849078, "energy": 56.461635, "activity_lines": [ 98.414667, 97.127272, 94.329387, 92.463882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 102.95, "volume": 671189, "typical_volume": 551686.4, "trend": 91.009849, "fair_value": 71.893987, "relative_strength": 10.65701, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.764695, "energy": 68.553465, "activity_lines": [ 100.053333, 98.433859, 95.409048, 93.27937 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 103.87, "volume": 451106, "typical_volume": 532441.7, "trend": 91.687541, "fair_value": 72.221307, "relative_strength": 5.920508, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.244518, "energy": 76.73712, "activity_lines": [ 101.686667, 99.686526, 96.475202, 94.109057 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }