{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7252ac25-097d-4e6b-9971-eec954958819", "symbol": "2063", "name": "Sheh Kai Precision Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 73.7, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.547, "architecture_energy": 57.532, "architecture_maturity": 30.612, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.03, "rotation_up": 26.6, "upward_expansion": 10.89, "deceleration": 46.95, "rotation_down": 52.72, "downward_expansion": 84.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.02, 24.098182, 24.553572, 25.091398 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.1, "trend_reference": 25.756667, "distance_from_trend": -0.06432, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.874859, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.32822, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.346153, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.078394, "excess_performance": -0.519766, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.06432, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009486, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.32822, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001313, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.343462, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042311, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.078394, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.236364, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 143000, "relative_activity": 1.165033, "balance": 0.236364, "dry_up": 0.884229, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025375, "annualized_volatility": 0.113289, "from_high_reference": -0.181664, "from_low_reference": 0.025532 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.756667, "fair_value_reference": 35.874859, "structural_low": 23.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.019608, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.070546, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.168992, "worst_return": -0.124839, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.080146, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.137535, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.113178, "worst_return": -0.190763, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.074592, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.291757, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.451537, "worst_return": -0.319277, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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24.63, 25.299762, 25.670753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.15, "volume": 93000, "typical_volume": 127896.6, "trend": 25.838333, "fair_value": 36.39024, "relative_strength": -33.559892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.128474, "energy": 76.841713, "activity_lines": [ 24.2, 24.499091, 25.133572, 25.559785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.0, "volume": 60000, "typical_volume": 118196.5, "trend": 25.798333, "fair_value": 36.26357, "relative_strength": -34.441481, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.527503, "energy": 80.216061, "activity_lines": [ 24.1, 24.366364, 24.968095, 25.441183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.75, "volume": 135000, "typical_volume": 117587.8, "trend": 25.79, "fair_value": 36.131945, "relative_strength": -33.282641, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.785221, "energy": 77.864345, "activity_lines": [ 23.98, 24.209091, 24.793095, 25.309032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.1, "volume": 96133, "typical_volume": 117293.7, "trend": 25.783333, "fair_value": 36.005358, "relative_strength": -32.984867, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.444346, "energy": 63.87523, "activity_lines": [ 24.0, 24.143637, 24.665953, 25.2 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 24.1, "volume": 143000, "typical_volume": 122743.35, "trend": 25.756667, "fair_value": 35.874859, "relative_strength": -34.346153, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.546993, "energy": 57.532246, "activity_lines": [ 24.02, 24.098182, 24.553572, 25.091398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }