{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7269baed-4b79-475b-a8f1-9d4e844d8d06", "symbol": "HWM", "name": "Howmet Aerospace\u00a0Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.553, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.52, "architecture_energy": 48.319, "architecture_maturity": 41.202, "architecture_confidence": 86.945, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.61, "rotation_up": 61.81, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 50.94, "rotation_down": 17.48, "downward_expansion": 7.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 281.368921, 277.131738, 269.173609, 262.424273 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 281.88, "trend_reference": 252.800496, "distance_from_trend": 0.115029, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 140.725951, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.003042, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.760023, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.26369, "excess_performance": 0.138065, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.115029, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099402, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.003042, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.211117, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.1076, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070788, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.26369, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.890739, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11623928, "relative_activity": 0.952528, "balance": 0.890739, "dry_up": 0.863177, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067345, "annualized_volatility": 0.334885, "from_high_reference": -0.090258, "from_low_reference": 0.666099 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 252.800496, "fair_value_reference": 140.725951, "structural_low": 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"energy": 46.912044, "activity_lines": [ 279.710411, 275.078508, 266.969259, 260.41092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 281.88, "volume": 11623928, "typical_volume": 12203234.95, "trend": 252.800496, "fair_value": 140.725951, "relative_strength": 10.760023, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.520322, "energy": 48.319284, "activity_lines": [ 281.368921, 277.131738, 269.173609, 262.424273 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }